NFL Picks Week 4

My upset pick came early this week. I took the Vikings as 7 point underdogs on the road against the Rams. While the Vikings did not win the game, the Rams did not cover so I am 0-1 in victories but 1-0 with points. Last week was not great. Let's see what happens this week.

Bengals @ Falcons (-5): The Falcons defense is a MASH unit. So the Falcons will need to score points in a big way to keep up with the solid Bengals offense, who were outmuscled by the Panthers. This is close but I think back to back road games close to each other will help the Bengals

Points: Bengals
Victory: Bengals

Dolphins @ Pats (-7): Its put up or shut up time for both teams. If the Dolphins win this, they prove they are for real and will have a 3 game lead on NE. I think it's closer than Vegas thinks. but NE sneaks by

Points: Dolphins
Victory: Pats

Eagles (-4) @ Titans: Philly's defense has not been great this year, but neither has Tennessee's offense. Give me the road team

Points: Eagles
Victory: Eagles

Texans @ Colts (-1.5): The Texans have been a disappointment offensively and somewhat defensively. This is essentially a pick'em, so no points call here. Give me the Colts

Victory: Colts

Lions @ Cowboys (-3): I have no idea what to do with this game. Lions were bad against the run the first two weeks which plays to Dallas' strength. Lions can score a lot of points though, which might make Dak forced to pass. Give me the road team in a minor upset

Points: Lions
Victory: Lions

Jets @ Jaguars (-7.5): The question with this game is the spread. It started at 9 points and has come down to 7.5. Fournette is questionable to play. If it was under 7, I would take the Jags with the points. It's not. And Blake Bortles is still back there playing a game Jets defense.

Points: Jets
Victory: Jaguars

Bills @ Packers (-10): So I guess blowing out Minny didnt count for much, huh? This spread is too high IMO. I like the Pack, but once again, back to back road games close to each other. Bills will be game.

Points: Bills
Victory: Packers

Buccaneers @ Bears (-3): Saw half of Fitztragic/Fitzmagic on Monday Night. I think Fitz will have another average game, but the Bears will sneak on by. This line is perfect. I think Bears will be fine

Points: Bears
Victory: Bears

Browns @ Raiders (-3): What we saw on Baker Mayfield on Thursday is that if you play back, like the Jets did, he can pick you apart. You need a good pass rush to rile him up. Luckily the Raiders...oops. Baker becomes the talk of the league

Points: Browns
Victory: Browns

Seahawks (-3) @ Cardinals: Dont trust a rookie QB against this defense, no matter how ruined it is. They still have the knowledge and power to confuse.

Points: Seahawks
Victory: Seahawks

Giants @ Saints (-3.5): Giants defense has played Bortles, Prescott, and Watson. This is a big step up. The Saints, on the other hand, have not showed they can stop anybody either. Yet, gimme the home team

Points: Saints
Victory: Saints

Niners @ Chargers (-10.5): Well this spread probably flipped the moment JG's injury status became public. I like the Chargers in this game, but that is a huge spread especially for a team that will play road games at home hehehehe.

Points: Niners
Victory: Chargers

Ravens @ Steelers (-3.5): That spread is pretty big for a rivalry game. Ravens will be pumped and the Steelers will have to answer inner questions. Close game

Points: Ravens
Victory: Steelers

Chiefs (-4.5) @ Broncos: Can the Chiefs hot passing attack overcome their league worst passing defense? The Broncos are a solid defense and a balanced offense. I like Mahomes over Keenum but rivalry games in the AFC West are close.

Points: Broncos
Victory: Chiefs