Friday, November 25, 2022

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 12

 I had a nice Thanksgiving, especially with my picks. And that ended a solid week for me, going 7-7 against the spread and 12-4 in the victory column.


Points: 67-54

Victory: 105-69


Because of the three games on Thanksgiving, fewer games to predict now. Let's see if I can take advantage:

Texans @ Dolphins (-14): High spread, but the Dolphins are a high scoring offense, especially recently. I think they cover.

Points: Dolphins     Victory: Dolphins


Ravens (-3.5) @ Jaguars: Lamar Jackson is off the injury list and will play. I will take advantage of the indecision and get the Ravens at a low spread

Points: Ravens   Victory: Ravens


Bears @ Jets (-6): I think the Bears would be fools to play Fields with a bad shoulder against this defense, but it looks still in doubt. I just don't see how the Bears win, especially in wet weather. Mike White is not great, but he should be better than Wilson was last week.

Points: Jets    Victory: Jets


Falcons @ Commanders (-4): Once again, behind Comrade Heineke, the Commanders will win this game. I just like their momentum.

Points: Commies    Victory: Commies


Bengals (-2.5) @ Titans: PICK'EM! No Joe Mixon and questionable Chase for the Bengals. I like the Titans, looking for revenge after last year's playoff defeat to knock off the Bengals. This would have been my upset pick if it was high enough.

Victory: Titans


Broncos (-1) @ Panthers: PICK'EM #2! Broncos better win this game or else there will be calls for firing, if there aren't already.

Victory: Broncos


Buccaneers (-3.5) @ Browns: If the Bucs key in on Nick Chubb, then they should win handily. I think they will and overcome their bad offense to win.

Points: Buccaneers   Victory: Buccaneers


Raiders @ Seahawks (-4): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
This is a total shot in the dark. I saw this line and it spooked me. How could Seattle, a division leader, be favored by only 4 points against a Raiders team that is awful? I think this is going to be a high scoring game, and I just feel that Vegas is up to tricks. I think they know something. I might easily be wrong, but with no other real alternative, I'm going to take it.

Points: Raiders     Victory: Raiders


Chargers (-2.5) @ Cardinals: PICK'EM #3! Two teams that like to self- destruct. Due to Brandon Staley's dislike of turkey at Thanksgiving (SHAME ON YOU!) Going with Arizona

Victory: Cardinals


Saints @ 49ers (-9): It's a big spread, but I've beaten down on the Niners alot and they've played dominantly of late. I think they cover.

Points: Niners    Victory: Niners


Rams @ Chiefs (-15.5): That's a huge number to get. I don't know. I have to think the Rams will put up a little bit of a fight. And the Chiefs don't seem the type of team to rub it in. I will split the difference here.

Points: Rams    Victory: Chiefs


Packers @ Eagles (-6.5): This has disaster written all over it. The Packers have a horrible run defense going against one of the best run teams in the NFL. Eagles clearly.

Points: Eagles     Victory: Eagles


Steelers @ Colts (-2.5) PICK'EM #4!  I like the way Kenny Pickett has progressed recently and I think the Steelers are going to be a bit healthier defensively. I like them against the Colts.

Victory: Steelers


Friday, November 18, 2022

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 11

 A mixed bag for me last week. I played the spreads really well, going 6-5. But my victories performance lagged behind. I only went 6-8 in that column. I got the split from Thursday Night (don't trust those Packers). That brings the season tally to:

Points: 60-47

Victories: 93-65


Need a little bounce back, so here we go.


Eagles (-6.5) @ Colts: I think that Monday Night game was a wakeup call and the Eagles will DOMINATE the Colts.

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles


Lions @ Giants (-3): Thank this spread because I think I can safely take the Giants. I trust their coaching more.

Points: Giants    Victory: Giants


Jets @ Patriots (-3.5): When in doubt, go with the coin of destiny. The coin says Jets lose this game.

Points: Patriots     Victory: Patriots


Browns @ Bills (-7.5): This game is thrown all out of whack because of the weather. They will play in Detroit on Sunday, but the Bills are stuck in Buffalo now. I think the Bills will win and stop a 2 game losing streak, but I think it's going to be sloppy. I will split the difference.

Points: Browns    Victory: Bills


Bears @ Falcons (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
One of these weeks, Justin Fields will get help from his team. I think it will be this week against a mercurial Falcons team which just gave 232 rushing yards to the Panthers. I think Justin Fields will finally taste the sweetness of victory.

Points: Bears      Victory: Bears


Panthers @ Ravens (-13): This line is scaring the crap out of me. The Ravens don't really blow people out. I'm going to play it safe and take the points, but the Ravens will win.

Points: Panthers    Victory: Ravens


Commanders (-3) @ Texans: As long as Heinicke is playing, I will take the Commies. He adds something to that team.

Points: Commies      Victory: Commies


Rams @ Saints (-3): This is a "Vegas knows something" line. The Rams are getting Stafford back, but Kupp is now hurt. But the Saints have just been blah. I know they're at home, but it's still suspicious. I will go with Vegas; a little hesitantly.

Points: Saints      Victory: Saints


Raiders @ Broncos (-3): Can't take the Raiders seriously anymore.

Points: Broncos    Victory: Broncos


Cowboys (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM! I guess people think a letdown from Minnesota is expected and the Cowboys will be gunning after losing to Green Bay. I don't think so. The game's not in prime time. I will take the Vikings.

Victory: Vikings


Bengals (-4) @ Steelers: Bengals need this win badly after losing to Pittsburgh back in Week 1. And I think they get it.

Points: Bengals      Victory: Bengals


Chiefs (-5) @ Chargers: The Chargers are basically banged up to the hilt. I will take the Chiefs

Points: Chiefs     Victory: Chiefs


49ers (-8) @ Cardinals:  I'm actually going to split here. I don't know if the Niners are up to winning by more than 7, on the road against a divisional opponent. I think they win, but not by 8.

Points: Cardinals     Victory: Niners




Friday, November 11, 2022

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 10

 The impression I had was that I had a horrible week. Both of my upset picks were on the verge of victory, then both the Rams and Falcons collapsed. My Thursday night pick was a disaster. Yet, somehow, I went 6-4 in the points column and 9-4 in the victory column which brings my season total to

Points: 54-42

Victory: 87-57

Now onto Week 10:


Seahawks @ Buccaneers (-2.5): ZE PICK EM! Give me Seattle. Don't trust Brady's momentum

Victory: Seahawks


Jaguars @ Chiefs (-9): Tough line and the Jaguars have not really been blown out this year. Call it a hunch, but I will split

Points: Jaguars    Victory: Chiefs


Texans @ Giants (-4.5): The line going down has helped me. Giants don't blow people out, but I think this is manageable.

Points: Giants    Victory: Giants


Browns @ Dolphins (-3.5): Don't think the Browns can take advantage of the Fins bad pass defense.

Points: Dolphins   Victory: Dolphins


Broncos @ Titans (-2.5): PICK'EM #2!  Tannehill has a chance to start. I think he will and because of that, I will take Tennessee.

Victory: Titans


Vikings @ Bills (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKK!!!!!!!!
Looks like Josh Allen will play, but the key to this game is the injured Buffalo secondary against the Vikings receivers. I think this could be high scoring, but the running game of the Vikings will serve them well.

Points: Vikings     Victory: Vikings


Lions @ Bears (-3): Really like how the Bears have grown offensively, and I think they will continue in that fashion.

Points: Bears     Victory: Bears


Saints (-1.5) @ Steelers: PICK'EM #3: zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz New Orleans

Victory: Saints


Colts @ Raiders (-4.5): I don't trust either team, but the Colts are in more disarray so I will go with the Raiders (sorry)

Points: Raiders    Victory: Raiders


Cowboys (-4.5) @ Packers: Nope, can't do it. Gotta go with Dallas.

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys


Cardinals @ Rams (-3): Both QBs are in jeopardy of missing this game so I will take the more complete team IMO, which is the Rams.

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams


Chargers @ 49ers (-7): This spread is a little too high for me. Niners win but the game is closer than 7.

Points: Chargers    Victory: Niners


Commanders @ Eagles (-11): Never underestimate an NFC East game. And the Commies have been playing better than late. Eagles win, but it will be 10 or under.

Points: Commies      Victory: Eagles





Friday, November 4, 2022

Greg's NFL Picks 2022: Week #9

 I continue to keep myself above average, even though I got burned by a couple of high point spreads last week (including Thursday Night). My current season totals are:


Points: 47-38

Victories: 78-53


Bills (-11) @ Jets: Tough spread and I think Jets keep it close with tough defense, but Bills pull away late.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills


Dolphins (-4) @ Bears:  Good test for Justin Fields here. I think this could be a relatively high scoring game, but I will side with Miami. If they want to make the playoffs, they have to win this game.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins


Vikings (-3) @ Commanders: I'm getting the feeling people are still down on Minnesota. They shouldn't be (unless they're in prime time). Skol.

Points: Vikings      Victory: Vikings


Panthers @ Bengals (-7.5):  Zac Taylorr is feeling some heat. I think he gets it off for one week. I like the Bengals big this week.

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals


Chargers (-3) @ Falcons: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
You know that I can't trust the Chargers as far as I throw them. And they're coming in banged up (no Keenan Allen or Mike Williams). Falcons coming off an emotional divisional win. I think they seize momentum and ground the Bolts.

Points: Falcons    Victory: Falcons


Packers (-3.5) @ Lions: If Green Bay loses this, they might as well just cancel their season. I will go with them one more time.

Points: Packers     Victory: Packers


Raiders (-2) @ Jaguars: PICK'EM!  zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Jags

Victory: Jaguars


Colts @ Patriots (-6): I know Mac Jones sucks, but the Pats defense should be good enough to hold off a young QB in Sma Ehlinger.

Points: Pats      Victory: Pats


Seahawks @ Cardinals (-2): PICK'EM #2! I love me some Pete Carroll right now. Give me Seattle.

Victory: Seahawks


Rams @ Buccaneers (-3): ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
First time I've pulled out this gem. I think Brady is done being an elite level QB; he can still be a good QB. And the Rams are coming off the bye and they are healthy. I will take the Rams on the Road.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams


Titans @ Chiefs (-12.5): Think this spread is way too high. Titans will run the ball and shorten the clock. I will split the difference, taking the Titans with the points.

Points: Titans     Victory: Chiefs


Ravens (-2.5) @ Saints: PICK'EM #3!  Luckily the spread is low, because I think the Ravens win, but I'm not comfortable with it. 

Victory: Ravens