Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 17

 Another mixed bag for me. I went 6-6 in the spread and 9-5 in the victory column. What really did it for me was Christmas Day. I bombed all 3 games played that day. But I recovered a little bit with a Thursday Night push (Push is a win for me). That brings the tally to:

Points: 97-75

Victories: 143-85

Colts @ Giants (-5.5): Giants too well coached to overlook a team. They will win and clinch a playoff berth. 

Points: Giants     Victory: Giants

Saints @ Eagles (-5.5): The Saints are a mystery to me. I think the Eagles will win by 7,. even though they are resting people

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Broncos @ Chiefs (-12.5): THAT'S NOT WHAT HE WANTED TO COOK!

Points: Chiefs     Victory: Chiefs

Bears @ Lions (-6): Don't really know about this one. Let's see if the Lions can rebound after a shocking loss. I think they do, but I think I will take the Bears with the points.

Points: Bears     Victory: Lions

Jaguars (-3) @ Texans: Trevor moving on up. Give me Jacksonville

Points: Jags    Victory: Jags

Panthers @ Buccaneers (-4): I want to pick the Panthers so badly, but I feel some mischief afoot to get Tom Brady back into the playoffs. I will split the difference.

Points: Panthers    Victory: Buccaneers

Dolphins (-2) @ Patriots: PICK'EM! Don't think Teddy is a huge downgrade for Miami given their offensive structure. I think New England's time has run out.

Victory: Dolphins

Browns @ Commanders (-2.5): PICK'EM #2!  I'll go with Washington being more desperate.

Victory: Commies

Cardinals @ Falcons (-5.5): Ridder vs. David Blough. Yawn

Points: Falcons    Victory: Falcons

49ers (-9) @ Raiders:  Niners will continue to roll against a Raiders team in transition.

Points: Niners    Victory: Niners

Jets (-2) @ Seahawks: PICK'EM #3! Think Mike White is the key factor in energizing the Jets and keeping them alive. Seattle has stagnated and I don't think there is a jolt there.

Victory: Jets

Vikings @ Packers (-3): Nobody fights harder than an animal with its back against the wall, and that is what Green Bay is. Don't know if the Vikings have the enthusiasm for this one. I will go with Green Bay

Points: Packers    Victory: Packers

Rams @ Chargers (-6.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

No home field advantage for either. Rams, with Baker Mayfield, have been playing a lot better. Chargers have just clinched a playoff spot so I don't know how up they will be for this game. I will take the Rams.

Points: Rams     Victory: Rams

Steelers @ Ravens (-2.5): PICK'EM #3! Pitt is still alive technically, but I think Baltimore uses the veteran saavy to bring this one home and eliminate the Steelers.

Victory: Ravens

Bills (-1) @ Bengals: PICK'EM #4! I think the loss of La'el Collins will prove costly here. The Bills will pressure Burrow hard. I think the Bills win a tough game and stay alive for a 1 seed.

Victory: Bills

Greg's NFL Picks: Week 16.

 I'm going to keep this quick, because it's Christmas and I want to relax. Had a bad week against the spread. 4-7 in that column but 9-7 in the victory column.

Points: 91-69

Victories: 140-80

Bengals (-3) @ Patriots:     Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Bills (-8) @ Bears:   Points: Bears    Victory: Bills

Seahawks (-10) @ Chiefs:   Points: Seahawks   Victory: Chiefs

Lions (-2.5) @ Panthers: PICK'EM!     Victory: Lions

Giants @ Vikings (-4):   Points: Vikings    Victory: Vikings

Texans @ Titans (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!

Points: Texans     Victory: Texans

Saints @ Browns (-3):    Points: Browns     Victory: Browns

Falcons @ Ravens (-6.5):   Points: Ravens     Victory: Ravens

Commanders @ 49ers (-6.5):   Points: Niners    Victory: Niners

Eagles @ Cowboys (-4.5):   Points: Cowboys    Victory: Cowboys

Raiders @ Steelers (-2): PICK'EM #2!     Victory: Steelers (RIP Franco Harris)

Packers @ Dolphins (-3.5):    Points:  Dolphins     Victory: Dolphins

Broncos (-3) @ Rams:     Points: Broncos     Victory: Broncos

Buccaneers (-7.5) @ Cardinals:    Points: Bucs     Victory: Bucs

Merry Christmas, everyone

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks : Week 15

 I think I would be under way too much pressure if I ended up doing this for a living. But I probably by this point have the credentials to do so. This is just a roundabout way of saying that I had a great week once again. I went 8-2 against the spread and 9-4 in the victory column (Including Thursday). Which brings my take this season to:

Points: 87-64

Victories: 132-73

Let's roll on.

Colts @ Vikings (-3.5): Vikings have been humbled recently, but they should handle the Colts with somewhat ease. I'll take Minnesota.

Points: Vikings    Victory: Vikings

Ravens @ Browns (-2.5) PICK'EM! Tough, but I think the Ravens are used to playing with Tyler Huntley at QB. And I don't know if Watson is really ready to explode. I will take Baltimore in a close one.

Victory: Ravens

Dolphins @ Bills (-7): Last week. the Bills showed they could play smashmouth football and they will have to again in the bad weather to beat Miami. The spread scares me a little but I will go with Buffalo to at least push.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Eagles (-8.5) @ Bears: The Eagles are probably the one team most suited to stop Justin Fields because of Jalen Hurts. Give me Philly once again.

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Lions (-1) @ Jets: PICK'EM #2! Even with the announcement that Zach Wilson would start, the line has barely moved. This is a pick'em all the way. I have to go with Detroit based on momentum and health, but it could go either way.  

Victory: Lions

Cowboys (-4) @ Jaguars: Interesting line, but I think the Cowboys survived their scare against Houston and took the lesson. Trevor Lawrence has played well, but this defense is another kettle of fish.

I will take Dallas.

Points: Cowboys    Victory: Cowboys

Chiefs (-14) @ Texans: This time, I will heed the lesson. Chiefs usually win, but they don't usually cover. I will take the 14 points. 

EDIT: Just found out Dameon Pierce is out. I will go with the Chiefs instead. Maybe a push

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Steelers @ Panthers (-3): Panthers still have a shot in the woeful NFC South and they have a winning record at home. I will take the Panthers to win.

Points: Panthers    Victory: Panthers

Falcons @ Saints (-4): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!

The Saints are just there. They're blah. But the Falcons have new excitement with Desmond Ridder making his NFL debut. Dennis Allen is really under fire in New Orleans as they play out the string, so I will go with Ridder to add some spark and lead the Falcons to the road win.

Points: Falcons     Victory: Falcons

Patriots (-1.5) @ Raiders: PICK'EM #3! Sneaky interesting game here. McDaniels wants to beat Belichick and the Pats looked meh against the Cardinals. I just don't trust McDaniels enough to get it to the finish line. Pats win another ugly game.

Victory: Pats

Cardinals @ Broncos (-1.5): PICK'EM #4! Colt McCoy vs. Brett Rypien! Have fun. I'll take the Broncos because they have the best unit on the field, but that's not a ringing endorsement.

Victory: Broncos

Bengals (-3.5) @ Buccaneers: Give me the Bengals to win another quality game.

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Titans @ Chargers (-3): The only reason I worry about the Chargers here is because they're the Chargers. But let's trust them for once and we'll see.

Points: Chargers    Victory: Chargers

Giants @ Commanders (-5): I think the Giants might be too banged up to win this game, but its an NFC East game. Always count on a close game (most of the time).

Points: Giants     Victory: Commies

Rams @ Packers (-7): Interesting game. I think the Packers will win, but I don't trust their offense enough to cover the 7 points. Plus Baker played well in his first action and should grow. I will split the difference here.

Points: Rams    Victory: Packers

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 14

 A meh week for me this time with a special stipulation. I went 5-5 against the spread and 9-5 in the victory column. The special stipulation was that I did not give myself credit for the Giants Commies game, as it ended in a tie. I know usually ties go to me, but I decided not to take the win for that because honestly, neither team won. I didn't score it a loss either, so it is essentially null and void. My season total is now:

Points: 79-62

Victories: 123-69

Onto the picks:

Eagles (-7.5) @ Giants: With Saquon questionable. I don't think the Giants have a prayer. I take the Eagles.

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Jets @ Bills (-10): Have to split here. Buffalo's offense has not clicked on all cylinders, and they may be missing several key defensive players, despite the extra rest. Bills win, but they don't cover.

Points: Jets     Victory: Bills

Vikings @ Lions (-2): PICK'EM! I know the Lions have played better, but again, the experience in close games should favor Minnesota. I will take them.

Victory: Vikings

Browns @ Bengals (-5.5): Revenge game for the Bengals, who seem to be pushing at the right time. I will take them at home with the points.

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Texans @ Cowboys (-17): Eeeeeek, this spread is dangerous. But I have to go with Dallas because Houston is in full tank mode. Very reluctantly, I will go Cowboys.

Points: Cowboys     Victory: Cowboys

Jaguars @ Titans (-3.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKK!!!!!!!!!!!

I had two upset picks in mind which were iffy at best. I think this one is the least iffy, so I'm going with this one. Both teams coming off beatdowns. Trevor Lawrence should be back for this game. The gameplan to beat Tennessee is very clear, and the Jags are good defensively. I will go with Jacksonville.

Points: Jaguars    Victory: Jaguars

Ravens @ Steelers (-2): PICK'EM #2! Steelers have been sneaking up of late and no Lamar kind of mucks it for me. Give me Pittsburgh at home.

Victory: Steelers

Chiefs (-9) @ Broncos: I'm done with Denver. If the Broncos could not win that game last week, I don't know how they win again. That being said, Chiefs don't really cover so I will take the points, reluctantly.

Points: Broncos     Victory: Chiefs

Buccaneers @ 49ers (-3.5): This was my other upset pick option, as QBs starting their first game against Tom Brady are 0-6 lifetime. But I think the Niners defense shuts down Brady, and Brock Purdy will manage the Niners to a win.

Points: Niners    Victory: Niners

Panthers @ Seahawks (-3.5): Truth be told. This game has snuck up on me. This has trap game written all over it for Seattle. They get the Niners next week on a short week. However, they've already gotten caught in a trap against the Raiders 2 weeks ago. I don't think they lose, but the possibility is so open that I think I'm going to split the difference.

Points: Panthers    Victory: Seahawks

Dolphins (-3.5) @ Chargers: If the Dolphins lose this game, I will have no respect for them. They have to win this game, especially to keep up in the AFC East. Give me Miami

Points: Dolphins     Victory: Dolphins

Patriots (-2) @ Cardinals: PICK'EM #3! Cardinals can beat this Pats team if they play focused and at their ability. The problem is that they rarely play at that level. I think the Pats win but close.

Victory: Pats

Greg's 2022 NFL Picks: Week 13

 I'm really amazing myself this year. I don't know whether it's the chaos or knowing the teams, but I am having a great year. It continued as I went 7-3 against the spread and 9-5 in the victory column this week. Which adds up to:

Points: 74-57

Victories: 114-64

This week has a lot of tough games though so let's see if it continues:

Jets @ Vikings (-3): Vikings have had a knack this year for winning close games. I don't think the Jets can pull away from Minnesota (which has happened in their two losses). I think that experience gets them the win in the end. 

Points: Vikings     Victory: Vikings

Titans @ Eagles (-4.5):  I don't think the Titans have the air power to take advantage of the Eagles weakened secondary. The Titans are too one dimensional to beat the Eagles IMO. I'll give the points away. with a little hesitation. 

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Commanders (-2.5) @ Giants: PICK'EM! Must win game for the Giants and they're getting healthier. I think Daniel Jones (who has owned the Commies in the past) will be the difference maker.

Victory: Giants

Browns (-7) @ Texans: Watson's back. Texans are tanking. Enough said

Points: Browns    Victory: Browns

Broncos @ Ravens (-9.5):  I have to split this game. Ravens are too untrustworthy, and the Broncos are too good defensively. 

Points: Broncos     Victory: Ravens

Jaguars (-1) @ Lions: PICK'EM #2! I will take Doug Pederson over Dan Campbell in this matchup. Jaguars win.

Victory: Jaguars

Steelers @ Falcons (-1): PICK'EM #3! Seriously, I think the Steelers are coming along nicely. Atlanta has blown it and I think the Steelers show more pep.

Victory: Steelers

Packers (-3.5) @ Bears: Tempted with Fields back but the Bears defense is still pretty bad. I will split it though to cover myself.

Points: Bears     Victory: Packers

Dolphins @ 49ers (-4): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The Dolphins offense and the Niners defense provide the backdrop of this game. Last week, a weird spread led me down the right path. This week, I'm going to fly in the face of that spread. I believe in Tua and that offense. This is a show me game for them and I think they get the win.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Seahawks (-7) @ Rams. Pardon my language. Fuck the Rams. They blew it last week. I hope they get trampled.

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Seahawks

Chiefs @ Bengals (-1.5): PICK'EM #4! Last year, the Bengals beat the Chiefs twice, including in the AFC title game. I think the Chiefs have had this game circled for a month or so, in order to reassert dominance. I think the Chiefs win.

Victory: Chiefs

Chargers @ Raiders (-1): PICK'EM #5! I'm going to go Chargers simply because I picked against them last week. Seriously, I don't have much a feel.

Victory: Chargers

Colts @ Cowboys (-10.5): I hope this is a blowout, because this should not be the Sunday Night game. NFL deserves some punishment for that.

Points: Cowboys    Victory: Cowboys

Saints @ Buccaneers (-3.5): This is kind of tempting also, but I just don't see how the Saints do it. This is a must win for Tampa, and I think they get it.

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs