Greg's NFL Picks: Week #8

 I think I had one of the worst weeks I had when it comes to picking victories. I went just 5-8 in the victory column but went 5-4 against the spread. A couple of my splits worked out partially in my favor. For the season: 

Points: 32-32

Victory: 53-37

Now to the picks:

Eagles (-7) @ Commanders: The spread makes this a bit tough, but I have to split this. The Commies have played tough against the Eagles twice this year and the Eagles still haven't popped IMO. 

Points: Commies    Victory: Eagles

Jets (-3) @ Giants: This is a game where I am at a loss. I have no idea what's going to happen. It's going to be low scoring and ugly. Because of that, I am going to the split well once again. I think the Jets win but I'm taking the 3 points.

Points: Giants   Victory: Jets

Patriots @ Dolphins (-9.5): Patriots usually struggle in Miami and the Dolphins are getting Jalen Ramsey back which should help their defense. I will take Miami by 10 points.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Jaguars (-2.5) @ Steelers: PICK'EM! My gut is saying Steelers. They just seem to find ways to win. And I have to give them credit for that. Maybe if this was a half point higher, it would have been my upset pick of the week. But regardless, I will go with Pittsburgh from the gut.

Victory: Steelers

Rams @ Cowboys (-6): Dallas fresh off of a bye at home? I'll go with Dallas to take out Los Angeles by a touchdown.

Points: Cowboys     Victory: Cowboys

Vikings (-1.5) @ Packers: PICK'EM! Packers have been disappointing to me this year. I'll take the Vikings.

Victory: Vikings

Texans (-3.5) @ Panthers: Texans defense under DeMeco Ryans has been impressive. I think they will carry the day and lead the Texans to a win. 

Points: Texans    Victory: Texans

Saints (-1) @ Colts: PICK'EM!  I can't trust the Saints at all. Give me the Colts, who should have won last week but got refballed to death.

Victory: Colts

Falcons (-2.5) @ Titans: PICK'EM!  Falcons have been winning despite their QB of late, and I think they will continue to do that against a Titans team that looks like it's about to have a fire sale (Derrick Henry in particular)

Victory: Falcons

Browns @ Seahawks (-3.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!

Defense travels in the NFL and the Browns have one of the best defenses in the NFL. I saw Seattle's OL crumble against Cincy a few weeks ago. Myles Garrett should have a field day. And PJ Walker is settled down. I'm calling for the Browns to win their 3rd in a row in Seattle.

Points: Browns    Victory: Browns

Chiefs (-7) @ Broncos: Chiefs can futz around all they want. They'll win by at least 7. I think. The Broncos still don't impress me. I will take the Chiefs.

Points: Chiefs   Victory: Chiefs

Ravens (-9.5) @ Cardinals: This high spread scares me a bit but the Cardinals have really started to erode. Enough so to take a flyer on the Ravens covering the 9.5. It's a risk, no question about it, but what's life without a little risk?

Points: Ravens     Victory: Ravens

Bengals @ 49ers (-4): I think the Niners will win, but I can see it being a FG game. The Bengals are strong enough now to give the Niners a push and the Niners haven't been good the last two games. I'll split the difference.

Points: Bengals   Victory: Niners

Bears @ Chargers (-8.5): Dear lord NBC, what have you done? I think the Chargers win, but I can't give away 8.5. They're not trustworthy. I'll take the split.

Points: Bears    Victory: Chargers

Raiders @ Lions (-8): Lions are due for a bounce back and the Raiders are garbage. Give me the Lions easy

Points: Lions   Victory: Lions

Greg's NFL Picks: Week #6

 I had previously said that this could have been my worst week ever. Boy was I wrong. I went 6-5 against the spread and 11-4 in the victory column. Boy my memory was bad. Almost as bad as the quality of football that week. That brings my season total to:

Points: 27-28

Victories: 48-29

And now, courtesy of the DraftKings Sportsbook, Here are these weeks picks:

Lions @ Ravens (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKKKKKKKKK!

Yes, it could be a trap. Yes, the Lions might be due. But I don't trust the Ravens one bit. They play around too much. And they get burned quite a bit. They can't do that against this Lions team. And because the Ravens are too prone to playing these games, I'm falling right in, 

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions

Bills (-8.5) @ Patriots: I think the Patriots will try and stand up defensively for this game. For some odd reason, I think it will be close. I'm going to split the difference and take the points. Maybe because the Bills are prone to these games.

Points: Patriots     Victory: Bills

Commanders (-3) @ Giants: Giants have had the Commies number of late and their defense played very well at Buffalo. However, their offense is less to be desired. Because of that. I'm again going to split the difference. I will pick the Commies to win but give me the points.

Points: Giants    Victory: Commies

Falcons @ Buccaneers (-2.5): PICK'EM! The one time I give the Falcons some allowance and they blow it miserably. NOT AGAIN. Tampa bounces back.

Victory: Bucs

Browns (-3.5) @ Colts: I love the Browns defense. It reminds me the Jets defense last year. Shut down but don't get a lot of turnovers. Minshew bombed against Jacksonville and it's going to be even tougher for him. I'll take the Browns with a TD victory.

Points: Browns    Victory: Browns

Raiders (-2.5) @ Bears: PICK'EM! Two young backup QBs going at it. I think the Raiders, having already started O'Connell, have the edge via experience in playing with him. Plus their defense is the best unit on the field. Give me the Raiders on the road.

Victory: Raiders

Cardinals @ Seahawks (-7.5): The hook scares me a little bit, but the Cardinals look to be slip sliding away. And they're playing in Seattle. I will take Seattle comfortably.

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Seahawks

Steelers @ Rams (-3): Love the Rams here. Steelers are 3-2. but they have a really negative point differential. They will have to score points to beat the Rams and I don't think they can efficiently do that.

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams

Chargers @ Chiefs (-5.5): I love this spread because its not too big and I know the Chiefs have some trouble with that. With this spread, I will happily and comfortably take the Chiefs.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Packers (-1) @ Broncos: PICK'EM! zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Oh um.....Broncos I guess

Victory: Broncos

Dolphins @ Eagles (-2.5): I love Miami for a couple reasons:

1. Ever since giving up 233 rushing yards to the Chargers, the Miami rush defense has been solid. Now part of that is the offense, but they should have some credit for that.

2. Eagles have not played a complete game all year. They have to show me that can do that.

Give me Miami.

Victory: Dolphins

49ers (-7) @ Vikings: It looks like a lot of the injuries the Niners sustained against the Browns were not season ending, which is a good thing. Vikings barely beat the Bears last week. I think the Niners win by 7 so I will go for the push. 

Points: Niners    Victory: Niners

Greg's NFL Picks: Week #6

 I started so well last week. I won the first 3 games against the spread. But then I got kicked in the rear by losing the next 6. So that's not great. Victory-wise, I went 8-6, so that's decent. That 6 losses in a row, by the way. includes the Broncos last night getting nipped by 11. So my record now is:

Points: 21-23

Victories: 37-25

Now onto this week's picks:

Ravens (-4) @ Titans: God the Ravens beat themselves more than any team in the NFL. But the Titans are just blah. Ravens usually bounce back from tough losses, so I will go with Baltimore to cover. I just wish the Ravens were more certain.

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens

49ers (-10) @ Browns: If Watson was playing, I think I would split because Cleveland;'s defense is that good. But the Browns are starting PJ Walker and I feel that the Niners are going to get some turnovers off of him. I'll take the Niners winning by 10.

Points: Niners     Victory: Niners

Panthers @ Dolphins (-14): Last week, Miami did not play great offensively and still put up 31 points. I have to go with Miami, even with that big amount because I have to think they will play better offensively. I know no Achane but Jeff Wilson is not a slouch.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Seahawks @ Bengals (-3): Bengals came to life last week at just the right time (not for me). They are back at home and get a west coast team coming in at an early time? I'll take Cincy to record their second straight win.

Points: Bengals     Victory: Bengals

Greg's NFL Picks: Week #5

 I had a great week last week. Not good, a GREAT week. 8-3 against the spread (including the Dick Butkus remembering Chicago Bears. If I had known he died before I made the pick, I would have probably split. I believe in that kind of juju). And 11-5 in the victory column. Which brings my record to:

Points: 18-17

Victory: 29-19

Now here are my picks for this week:

Jaguars @ Bills (-5.5): Jaguars are a good team, but the Bills are on a roll. However, the Jaguars are already in London so the Bills might have to play catchup on the clock. And the Bills might have a letdown after blowing out Miami. I think the Bills win but the jet lag prevents the cover.

Points: Jaguars  Victory: Bills

Giants @ Dolphins (-12.5): Normally I stay away from the high spreads, but the Giants are bad; they're injured. I don't know how they keep this close. So I will give the 12.5 away.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Panthers @ Lions (-10): I'm with the Panthers as I said last week. Lions will win by 10 points.

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions

Ravens (-4.5) @ Steelers: Kenny Pickett will play but not Pat Friermuth, the Steelers TE who has 2 TDs this year. This line is respectful of the rivalry, but Ravens are in a much better shape right now. 

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens

Texans @ Falcons (-1.5): PICK'EM! I'm in on Houston. They have a good mojo going right now. Atlanta still bothers me. I will take Houston.

Victory: Texans

Titans (-2.5) @ Colts: PICK'EM! Very odd line. The Colts are not great defensively. But Tennessee is too Jekyll and Hyde for me to back. I'll take the Colts

Victory: Colts

Saints @ Patriots (-1): PICK'EM! This could be the most boring game in the history of the NFL. Two teams that struggle to score and have good defenses. I know the Pats defense is banged up, but I will take New England because of reputation. Sorry. I have no interest in this game.

Victory: Patriots

Eagles (-4) @ Rams: I have to respect the Eagles for what they have done, but the Rams will get Cooper Kupp back. I'm going to split the difference here. The Eagles have not really been impressive yet and the Rams can play a bit. 

Points: Rams    Victory: Eagles

Bengals (-3) @ Cardinals: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Why should I believe in the Bengals? They have given me nothing to be excited about. The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been competitive in every game. They're at home. Maybe the Bengals get up finally, but I don't know. Give me the Cardinals at home.

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals

Chiefs (-3.5) @ Vikings: Vikings have the offense to keep up with KC, but I just can't trust them. Besides you know the NFL wants to keep the Swifties happy hehehe.....  However, I will split the difference because of their offense and the possible hook.

Points: Vikings    Victory: Chiefs

Jets @ Broncos (-2.5): PICK'EM! The loss of DJ Reed at corner scares me, but the Jets have had this game circled all season. I think Hackett will go pedal to the medal and if Wilson (Zach) plays like he did against KC, the Jets will win comfortably. As it is, I will pick the Jets to get revenge. 

Victory: Jets

Cowboys @ 49ers (-3.5): Niners haven't really been tested yet by a quality defense. This is the week for that. I think the Niners will end up winning, but I think it's going to be very close. And the hook is in Dallas's favor. I will take those points and pick the Niners to win.

Points: Cowboys    Victory: Niners

Packers @ Raiders (-1): PICK'EM! I know the Packers got steamrolled by the Lions last Thursday, but I can't trust the Raiders. Adams has a shoulder injury, Josh Jacobs is having a down year and the QB situation is in flux. Give me the Packers as the more stable team.

Victory: Packers