Friday, October 12, 2018

NFL Picks Week 6

So last night I believed that Saquon Barkley would have a coming out party and the Giants would win. I was right in one regard. He did have a coming out party. Only problem was that he was the only guest and that includes the coaches. 13 carries? SMH. So 0-1 in both categories to begin the week. If you are sitting comfortably, then I shall begin.

Chargers @ Browns (-1): PICK'EM! The Chargers actually showed a backbone last week and beat the Raiders at home and on the road. However they are headed to the Dawg Pound and the Browns are very tough. Gimme the young Browns to continue their rise.

Victory: Browns

Cardinals @ Vikings (-10.5): I almost picked the Cardinals as my upset pick of the week last week and I stopped myself because they were on the road. Shame. As for this week, that is a very high spread to work with. But I think the Vikings, now having tape of Rosen, will be ready for him.

Points: Vikings
Victory: Vikings

Bills @ Texans (-10): I dont know what to make of the Bills. They show up, and they don't show up. In this case, I feel that their past is being overlooked. The Texans needed OT to beat Dallas. This might not get to OT but I think it will be closer than thought.

Points: Bills
Victory: Texans

Panthers @ Redskins (-1): PICK'EM #2! I keep waiting for the Skins pass rush to show up and it doesn't. The Skins lead the NFC Least by default, but I don't like their chances against a stout Carolina defense.

Victory: Panthers

Bears (-3.5) @ Dolphins: This is a tough one to call. I really like the Bears but will they be slowed down by adjustments to Trubisky? I'm not sure. This would be my upset pick of the week secondary, but it's not.

Points: Bears
Victory: Bears

Colts @ Jets (-2.5): I am very much aware of the Jets letdown factor. I know they will not play nearly as well as they did against Denver. However, the other team needs to be able to take advantage of that letdown, and I think the Colts are just too banged up to do it. Looking at a 17-10 or 17-14 game for Gang Green.

Points: Jets
Victory: Jets

Steelers @ Bengals (-1.5):  PICK'EM #3! This is a game and spread that shouts "Vegas knows something" How the Bengals this low favored at home? In my picks 1 and 1.5 are pick'ems. The Bengals have had to rally late recently. And I think they will get burned. Vegas, you better have an inkling.

Victory: Steelers

Seahawks @ Raiders (-2.5): Short and sweet. Got burned by the Raiders last week. Not this time.

Points: Seahawks
Victory: Seahawks

Buccaneers @ Falcons (-3): This has shootout written all over it. Because the Falcons are at home, I give them the slight advantage. If that spread was a little higher, I would have given the Bucs the points. But no

Points: Falcons
Victory: Falcons

Rams (-7) @ Broncos: Broncos got kicked in the groin by the Jets and are regrouping. Rams have to deal with another tough road environment. Once again I think the Rams win but it will be closer.

Points: Broncos
Victory: Rams

Ravens (-2.5) @ Titans: Neither of these teams make much sense. Will the Ravens look good offensively or spit the bit. Baltimore has usually done well against the spread against Tennessee, so on that basis, I will go purple

Points: Ravens
Victory: Ravens

Jaguars (-3) @ Cowboys: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!
After getting taken to the woodshed by the Chiefs, the Jags have to go to another place that is tough to play. The Cowboys have a much better defense than the Chiefs do. And I think the mobility of Prescott will give the Jaguars things to think about defensively. Gimme the home team

Points: Cowboys
Victory: Cowboys

Chiefs @ Patriots (-3.5): The game everybody has been waiting to see. With a long week to plan Belichick should have something cooked up for Mahomes and crew. And then there is the matter of that Chiefs defense on the road. Seen them way too many times to doubt them

Points: Pats
Victory: Pats

Niners @ Packers (-9.5): If I was only picking the spread itself, this would be my upset pick. The Packers offense has been pedestrian even with Aaron Rodgers. And the Niners have shown to be game at times. And that is a big spread.

Points: Niners
Victory: Packers




4 comments:

  1. Love the picks Greg. Chiefs at Pats is gonna be a great game - but you’re right, Belichick will definitely have something up his sleeve... and not just a deflated football or pumping extra crowd noise into the stadium... he might just flat out pay the refs off at this point

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  2. Love this Browns pick , think they keep the good vibes rolling today , might have to hop on that 9ers spread too

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  3. Greg, I am totally with your inkling of Vegas being a tad bit fishy with this line, but I am all over Steelers with the points and ML. #BeatTheBooks

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