Last week was a humdinger for me. I lost only 4 games in each category. In the points category, 2 of the 4 games I lost were by half a point. In the victory category, 2 of the 4 games I lost were pick'ems (very even matchups). Only the Giants and Bears really let me down. Speaking of down, I am 0-1 in the Victory Category because I foolishly chose the Cardinals. Why? I have no idea. I was insane. So with that out of the way, if you are sitting comfortably, I will begin.
Chargers (-6.5) vs. Titans (England): The Chargers did something very smart. They stayed in Cleveland after beating up the Browns and flew out of Cleveland to London. I think that will help. Plus the Titans are just so weird. England games have a tendency to be blowouts. Give me the points.
Points: Chargers
Victory: Chargers
Pats (-2.5) @ Bears: If Khalil Mack were totally healthy, I would feel better for the Bears but without that, I don't really like the Bears chances. And again, until they show me reason to doubt, I don't.
Points: Pats
Victory: Pats
Panthers @ Eagles (-5): This game was tempting to me to call the upset. The Eagles kicked the crap out of the Giants but its the Giants. I still think the Eagles are going to win but that spread scares me and the Eagles still scare me.
Points: Panthers
Victory: Eagles
Texans @ Jaguars (-5): Another game that really tempts me to pick it as my upset. But I will not. It will be close. Jags have a problem against mobile QBs the last two weeks, but the Texans have allowed Watson to be the most sacked QB in the NFL this year. Home team pulls it out but close.
Points: Texans
Victory: Jaguars
Vikings (-3.5) @ Jets: This game is too easy for me to call. It's a horrible matchup for the Jets. Jets secondary is too banged up to deal with Minny's receivers. I would be surprised (and pleased) if this game is within 10 points.
Points: Vikings
Victory: Vikings
Bills @ Colts (-7.5): Could be the worst game in the NFL this year. Bills avoiding Pickerman and going with Anderson at QB. The Colts are getting healthier on defense. I think the Colts win but that spread is too big.
Points: Bills
Victory: Colts
Browns @ Buccaneers (-3.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!
The Bucs just fired their defensive coordinator. In addition to that, they will be missing key cogs on defense including DT Gerald McCoy and LB Vinny Curry. The Browns are switching RBs, shipping Carlos Hyde off to Jacksonville, giving young Nick Chubb a few more carries. I think the Browns bounce back on the road. and really put Dirk Koetter on the hot seat
Points: Browns
Victory: Browns
Lions (-3) @ Dolphins: This line is suspicious to me. The Dolphins are undefeated at home this year and the heat gives them an added edge. The Lions have been very up and down. This line has a "Vegas knows something" feeling. I will go halfway and hope Vegas has an inkling.
Points: Lions
Victory: Dolphins
Saints @ Ravens (-2.5): One of the more interesting matchups of the year. The key in this game will be Joe Flacco, who has been an enigma his whole career and this year. The Saints defense has regressed from last year. Combine that with the fact that the Saints are out of the dome and it's a good bet on the birds
Points: Ravens
Victory: Ravens
Rams (-10) @ Niners: Last week I played the Niners with the spread against the Pack and got rewarded. This week tempts me again. Adding to the fact that the Rams seem to grind teams out instead of just blowing the doors off is convincing to me to go with the points
Points: Niners
Victory: Rams
Cowboys @ Redskins (-1.5): PICK'EM! The Cowboys have been dominant at home this year, but on the road is another story. Redskins have been Jekyll and Hyde all year. In this case, I think the HFA means a ton. Give me the skins
Victory: Redskins
Bengals (-6) @ Chiefs: Chiefs will bounce back this week against an inconsistent Bengals team that has pulled some rabbits out of their hat.
Points: Chiefs
Victory: Chiefs
Giants @ Falcons (-5): If the Giants can't score over 30 points against this Falcons defense then somebody needs to be fired. The Giants are in disarray, and I will stick with the script that has been their blueprint mostly throughout. Giants defense keeps it close but falls apart late. The Giants do better offensively but it is not enough.
Points: Giants
Victory: Falcons
No comments:
Post a Comment