Friday, November 17, 2023

Greg's NFL Picks: Week #11

 I had another great week against the spread, going 8-2 on it, including the Thursday Night game. On the victories side, I went 9-5. The season total:

Points: 50-44

Victories: 81-52


This week promises to be very difficult. Let's see what I can do.

Cowboys (-10.5) @ Panthers: There is a possibility of a letdown by the Cowboys, but I don't know if Carolina is good enough to take advantage of that. I will take Dallas and give the points away.

Points: Cowboys    Victory: Cowboys


Bears @ Lions (-7.5): I do sense a bit of a letdown with the Lions but I do think the Bears can keep it under a TD because Justin Fields is coming back, and he has played decently at times. And I have the hook. I think the Lions win but I will take the points.

Points: Bears     Victory: Lions


Raiders @ Dolphins (-13.5): Dolphins can take command of the AFC East and I think they will. Raiders really haven't impressed in their 2 wins, and I don't think they impress here.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins


Giants @ Commanders (-8.5): As bad as the Giants have been, I think they can keep it close with Washington. Washington has to tame these demons themselves. I think the Commies win, but it's gonna be under the number. Show me, Washington.

Points: Giants    Victory: Commies


Cardinals @ Texans (-6): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!
The Texans are a young team coming off a big win against the Bengals. This has the potential to be a trap. Especially given that Kyler Murray is back in the fold for Arizona. Texans are also a little banged up on the OL. I think Arizona brings them back down to Earth a bit.

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals


Titans @ Jaguars (-7): Jaguars need a bounce back and I think they get it.

Points: Jaguars   Victory: Jaguars


Steelers @ Browns (-1.5): PICK'EM! The Steelers seemingly have walked into great luck with the opposing QBs that they are facing. I like their chances vs. DTR and the Browns.

Victory: Steelers


Chargers (-3) @ Packers: I'm kind of torn. I don't trust the Chargers at all but I don't know if the Packers are good enough offensively to keep up. I think the Chargers will cover, but I'm not crazy about it.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers


Buccaneers @ 49ers (-12): That's a big number but I don't know if Tampa will be able to stay on the field long enough to wear down the Niners defense. I will take the Niners and give the points away, a little hesitantly.

Points: Niners   Victory: Niners


Jets @ Bills (-7): This is right on the line where I would take Buffalo. At 8 or 9, I would probably go with the Jets, because I don't trust Buffalo. And Zach Wilson, for as bad as he has been, is 2-1 against Buffalo. I think Buffalo wins and covers, but barely.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills


Seahawks (-1) @ Rams: PICK'EM! Seattle's defense is proving to be very capable and I think they will be the difference against the Rams. 

Victory: Seahawks


Vikings @ Broncos (-2): PICK'EM! I love the Broncos in this game because of their defense. Their defense has really come on of late against Kansas City and Buffalo and now I think they will stop the magic man, Josh Dobbs. 

Victory: Broncos


Eagles @ Chiefs (-2.5): PICK'EM! Both teams coming off their byes so no rest advantage. I'll take Kansas City because I trust them more to give me an all out effort. Philly, I'm still ehhhh on. I'll take the Chiefs.

Victory: Chiefs




 

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