Friday, November 3, 2023

Greg's NFL Picks: Week #9

 I had a solid week last week. I hit a couple of pushes on the spreads, and thusly, went 7-5 against the spread. I went 10-6 in the victory column to bring my season totals to:


Points: 39-37

Victories: 63-43


So let's get on with it:

Dolphins @ Chiefs (-2): ZE PICK'EM! From Germany, I think that the Chiefs were caught in a trap last week looking forward to this game. This should be a shootout in the morning, I think the Chiefs are more used to this spotlight, so I'm going with them, but I'm not overly confident.

Victory: Chiefs


Seahawks @ Ravens (-6): Ravens are on a roll; they lost the cover in the last minute against Arizona but they still put the foot to the pedal. Seattle stole a game against the Browns (dammit) so this has a bit of spite in it. Ravens easily (famous last words).

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens


Bears @ Saints (-8.5): The line scares me a bit, but the Saints are coming off their best offensive performace of the year against the Colts. And the Bears' pass defense is god awful. And I think the Saints defense will keep Bagent in line. Somewhat reluctantly, I will give the points and take the Saints.

Points: Saints     Victory: Saints


Cardinals @ Browns (-10): Whoever is playing QB for the Browns, they should have no problem for the Cardinals at this point. They were lucky to cover the previous week. Not again.

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns


Vikings @ Falcons (-4): I like the QB switch for Atlanta at this point, especially playing a Minnesota team stuck in between Cousins and Josh Dobbs (Jalen Hall will get the start). I will take Atlanta, and they better win IMO.

Points: Falcons    Victory: Falcons


Buccaneers @ Texans (-3): Two similar teams. I would lean Tampa because of their veteran experience but I do have some respect for what Houston has done. And they should be annoyed coming off a bad loss to the Panthers. I will split the difference here.

Points: Bucs    Victory: Texans


Commanders @ Patriots (-2.5): PICK'EM! Commies/Pats: THE ULTIMATE SHOWDOWN. I'll go with New England because I don't really like where Washington is right now. They sold off Young and Swear so they seem to be giving up, although they haven't said that.

Victory: Pats


Rams @ Packers (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Both teams come into this game down, but IMO, the Packers have been a slight disappointment of late, while the Rams have been kind of what people thought they would be, Packers are also banged up on defense which does not help them, including Quay Walker, their leading tackler. I'll take the Rams to get the bounce back. 

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams


Colts (-2.5) @ Panthers: PICK'EM! I'm going to take the Colts for one simple reason, The Panthers have not had a game all year in which they've given up less than 100 yards rushing. The Colts come in 6th in the NFL in yards per attempt and 9th in total yards. I think the Colts will run the Panthers into the ground.

Victory: Colts


Cowboys @ Eagles (-3): ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!
Yes, for the first time this year, I'm pulling out the double. This game to me comes down to matchups. The Cowboys have not been the ground attacking team they've been in the past. They've gone more to the air. And Philly's secondary has been a mess for a while. On the defensive side, DaRon Bland has played very well in the absence of Trevon Diggs and Hurts not only has had more turnovers this year but has a banged-up knee which could limit his mobility. I'm taking Dallas to go into Philly and take out the Eagles.

Points: Cowboys    Victory: Cowboys


Giants @ Raiders (-1.5): PICK'EM! Usually when a team fires a head coach or a manager midstream, there is a game or two of a bounce up. All reports are that Raiders players are all in on Antonio Pierce. Besides that, the Giants have done a lot of whining about the officiating at the end of the Jets game last week. That's not a good mindset to have going into a football game. The Giants should win, but I don't think they are in the right mindset. I will take the Raiders.

Victory: Raiders


Bills @ Bengals (-2): PICK'EM! I love Cincy here. They seem to have found themselves and are starting to hit their stride. The Bills are still.....just there. They need to show me that they can overcome those two major injuries to win against a great opponent. I will take the Bengals.

Victory: Bengals


Chargers (-3.5) @ Jets: I'm going to split the difference here. Chargers should win, but the Jets have played teams close basically all year; and the Chargers have to come east to cold temperatures which could slow down their offense. I'm not ballsy enough to pick the upset here, but I could see it happening. For now, I'm taking the 3.5.

Points: Jets    Victory: Chargers


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