You thought I was kidnapped didn't you?
Nope, I've really had nothing to talk about over the past few months. The thoughts that I have considered putting on here really haven't been shaped enough to create a full blog post. But now, something has brought me back.
That something is football.
All the previous rules apply. A pick'em game counts as a game with a spread at 2.5 points or lower. A push counts as a win. The one real difference is that this year, I am making the prediction on Thursday so that I can include TNF into the foray. My odds come from the Draft Kings Sports Book (which is getting more commercial time than car insurance these days).
With that being said. Let's get cracking:
\Cowboys @ Buccaneers (-9): This is a tough line for me. Not having Zach Martin is going to be a huge blow to Dallas protecting against a stout Bucs defense. But by 9 plus points? I'm going to give the points very hesitantly
Points: Bucs Victory: Bucs
Lions @ 49ers (-7.5): I think the Niners, who are looking to stay healthy for the first time in awhile, are going to get on the right track and steamroll Detroit methodically. The hook scares me a bit but I will give the points
Points: Niners Victory: Niners
Steelers @ Bills (-6.5): The Steelers have to realize that this is Big Ben's last good shot with this cast and they are a proud bunch. And I think Buffalo will work on their ground game, which was their weak point last year. Therefore, I will split the difference and take the points
Points: Steelers Victory: Bills
Eagles @ Falcons (-3.5): While I believe the Falcons are heading for a mediocre meh season with Matt Ryan's last stand, I think they handle Philly rather easily. I don't know why. Philly's got a lot of ickiness going on right now to me.
Points: Falcons Victory: Falcons
Jets @ Panthers (-4): Carolina's offensive line scares the crap out of me in this game. The Jets front four, even without Carl Lawson is very strong. I think the Jets keep it close but Carolina out talents them at the end. Good spread line but I will give the points away.
Points: Panthers Victory: Panthers
Vikings (-3.5) @ Bengals: Reports out of Cincy are that Joe Burrow still really hasn't regained his mental form from last year after the injury. And a revamped Vikings defense should beat him up pretty well. It's on the road, but surprised the spread isn't a bit higher. Give those points away
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
Cardinals @ Titans (-3): This is a very important year for both of these teams. Cardinals looking to see if Kyler Murray is the one while Tennessee needs to capitalize on the hot years for Derrick Henry. This is projected to be a shootout and ball control will be key. Thusly, give those points and take the Titans
Points: Titans Victory: Titans
Seahawks (-2.5) @ Colts: PICK'EM!!!!! This to me has the feeling of one of the games that Vegas knows something. Maybe they think Seattle isn't as strong on the road or will suffer the earlier time slot. Seattle spits in that as they have won 11 of their last 12 early games. Give me Seattle
Victory: Seattle
Chargers @ WFT (-1): ANOTHER PICK'EM!!!!!!!! I can understand this game being considered close. Even though I think the Chargers are the better team, they have been the masters of pulling defeat from the jaws of victory the last few years. And Washington's defense is very good. If Herbert is going to take that jump, this is a game that he should win. And I think he will.
Victory: Chargers
Jaguars (-3) @ Texans: The Texans have replaced the Jets as having the worst roster in the NFL this year. And the whole Watson thing hangs like a dark cloud over them. If Lawrence and Meyer can't win this game...hooo boy. I think they will though
Points: Jaguars Victory: Jaguars
Packers (-3.5) @ Saints: While the Jags are in Houston, the Saints will be using their field because of the hurricane. This spread to me is a little too close for this game being held in Jacksonville. Would not be shocked if the spread goes up. I think the Packers win by the spread
Points: Packers Victory: Packers
Browns @ Chiefs (-5.5): You've noticed I've given a lot of points away so far. Not here. The Browns played the Chiefs very close in their playoff matchup in January, and I think they will have what it takes to keep the game close. I think the Chiefs eke out a victory, but gimme those points. Probably the game of the day
Points: Browns Victory: Chiefs
Broncos (-3) @ Giants: I wanted to pick the Giants in this game so badly, but they are just too banged up for me to pick them outright. Nevertheless, this matchup appears winnable to me, if they can control the ball. And their injury report is a bit nebulous. So I am going to split the difference here. Don't let me down, G-Men.
Points: Giants Victory: Broncos
Dolphins @ Patriots (-3): The Patriots somnambulance (look it up) in the early parts of seasons put me on somewhat of an alert for this game. But the Dolphins, like the Giants, are banged up and Belichick is out for blood and vengeance. I will give the points and take New England, a little hesitantly
Points: Pats Victory: Pats
Bears @ Rams (-7.5): Can Matthew Stafford be the spark that can get the Rams back to the Super Bowl? Time will tell, but he will have to prove it. This spread is a little dangerous for me, but after seeing Dalton flop around in the preseason, I think I will chance it.
Points: Rams Victory: Rams
Ravens (-4) @ Raiders: here it comes.....
UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!
As I have been typing this, the Ravens have had two players tear ACLs (maybe) (not joking). Star CB Marcus Peters looks like he will be out, while RB Gus Edwards becomes the 3rd THAT'S RIGHT! THIRD Ravens running back to suffer a significant injury. That puts a ton more pressure on Lamar Jackson and more focus for the defense. Combine that with it being a road game and I think the Raiders pull the rug out.
Points: Raiders Victory: Raiders
Well there they are. Let's see how we do.
No comments:
Post a Comment