Last week was good and horrible. I went a very strong 10-6 in the victory department. But against the spread, a very stinky 4-8. I underestimated a lot of teams and missed on a few upsets. So through 4 weeks:
Points: 26-28
Victories: 38-26
Point spreads were set on the Thursday by the Draftkings Sportsbook. And AWAY WE GOOOO!
Rams (-2) @ Seahawks: PICK'EM! Can anybody figure out these two teams? Rams were on a roll but got stung by the Cardinals. I vowed not to pick the Seahawks anymore and then they got by the Niners. This to me is a coin flip, I'll take Seattle because they're at home. But I don't know.
Victory: Seahawks
Jets @ Falcons (-3): I am VERRRRRRY tempted. Especially with the news that Calvin Ridley will not even make the trip to London. But something is holding me back. I don't know how the Jets youth will handle prosperity and their linebacking corps is decimated with injuries which doesn't match well with newfound Falcons weapon Cordarrelle Patterson. Nevertheless, I will hedge my bet here.
Points: Jets Victory: Falcons
Dolphins @ Buccaneers (-10): Miami is reeling a bit here. They just lost Will Fuller for the year to an injury and their defense has regressed. I think Tampa makes a statement here with a dominating win. But 10 is a big number, especially with no Gronk. If it were 8 points, I would take the Bucs easily. But at 10, I will light a candle and pray to the football gods.
Points: Bucs Victory: Bucs
Packers (-3) @ Bengals: The Bengals are 20th in the NFL in points per game which is a bit surprising. Joe Mixon has not been the running threat that he should be. I think the Packers win this by 6 or so I will take the Pack
Points: Packers Victory: Packers
Eagles @ Panthers (-3): I was tempted to pick the Eagles in this one, but the latest rumblings is that Christian McCaffrey might be a go which would spell doom for the Eagles. so give me the Panthers
Points: Panthers Victory: Panthers
Patriots (-8.5) @ Texans: Bill Belichick against a rookie QB. Need I say more?
Points: Patriots Victory: Patriots
Titans (-4) @ Jaguars: Titans have to be steaming mad they blew the game to the Jets last week. And Jacksonville is caught up in UrbanGate. If the Titans don't win this game, there is something seriously wrong with them. I will take the Titans, hesitantly.
Points: Titans Victory: Titans
Lions @ Vikings (-10): I know the Lions didn't upset the Bears last week, but do I believe in the Minnesota enough to outscore the Lions by 10. The better question may be should I expect the Lions to score enough. I'm going to take the Vikings but I don't like it.
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
Saints (-2.5) @ WFT: PICK'EM #2! This line screams "Vegas knows something" Washington's defense has been the most disappointing unit in the NFL this year. I know the Saints are conservative but surely, they can beat Washington. I would also maybe account for a letdown after the comeback win last week.
Victory: Saints
Broncos @ Steelers (-1): PICK'EM #3! Steelers are in a very difficult spot. They are not nearly the team they used to be and are staring 1-4 in the face. This game will be ugly and at the end of the day, I think I trust Teddy over Ben. I will take the Broncos
Victory: Broncos
Browns @ Chargers (-2): PICK'EM #4! I keep waiting for the other shoe to drop with the Chargers. But they seem so settled. Anthony Lynn was a DISASTER coaching them last year and Brandon Staley seems to have more control and be more decisive. I think they continue to roll.
Victory: Chargers
Bears @ Raiders (-5.5): This spread is interesting. I think if the Raiders had beaten the Chargers, this would have been another trap game. But I will bet that Gruden will have them ready. I will take the Raiders barely over the spread
Points: Raiders Victory: Raiders
Giants @ Cowboys (-6.5): I think this will be a classic NFC East competitive game. The Giants usually keep it close down there. But I think Dallas (Dak especially) has been on a mission all year to prove doubters wrong. I think Dallas ends up winning but I will take the points
Points: Giants Victory: Cowboys
49ers @ Cardinals (-4.5): This is another line that screams "Vegas knows something" If Garappolo doesn't play, and he did not practice today so it's trending that way, I don't see how the Niners win unless the Cardinals have a major letdown which is possible. But I think they have proven enough to not have that letdown so I will take Arizona
Points: Cardinals Victory: Cardinals
Bills @ Chiefs (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!
The Chiefs defense has played like garbage. All year. No sugar coating it. And ever since losing to the Steelers in Week 1, the Bills have played with rage and vengeance and anger. This is a statement game for them. To become the class of the AFC. And I think they do it. Hard to go against Mahomes, but their defense.......oh boy.
Points: Bills Victory: Bills
Colts @ Ravens (-6.5): The AFC South seems to be this year's NFC East. A crap division with 4 crappy teams. And I think that trend continues here. I think the Ravens will win this game by a TD at least.
Points: Ravens Victory: Ravens
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