Thursday, October 28, 2021

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week #8

 So I seem to be on a bit of a roll as of late. 6-4 against the points and a great 10-3 in the victory department. Including nailing my 3rd straight upset pic of the week. So that brings my season total to:


Points: 44-44

Victory: 67-38

I might be feeling my oats this week a bit, I'm not sure. BTW I know I put "Week 6" twice, but what can you do? So, using the odds provided by the Draftkings Sportsbook, let's roll.


Packers @ Cardinals (-6.5): Green Bay is banged up in the WR department but Arizona lost JJ Watt for the season, a key component to their defense. Plus, Thursday Night games are usually sloppy and somewhat low scoring. I think the Cardinals win, but that spread is very close. I'll take the Cardinals but hesitantly.

Points: Cardinals    Victory: Cardinals


Bengals (-10.5) @ Jets: This game screams trap/letdown for the Bengals. But the Jets are so banged up defensively that I think they will win rather easily. If this spread went a little higher, I would have taken the Jets. But it's still in range for me to take Cincinnati. 

Points: Bengals   Victory: Bengals


Dolphins @ Bills (-14): The Bills are out for vengeance and the Dolphins are garbage. Send those points way.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills


Titans @ Colts (-1.5): PICK'EM! Two teams that have seemingly found themselves via their runs games. But to me, I will take Derrick Henry over Johnathan Taylor. I think the Titans are more battle tested than the Colts. Give me the Titans

Victory: Titans


Rams (-14.5) @ Texans: I'm done with Houston and large spreads. They are awful and the Rams will be looking to make a statement after messing with the Lions last week. CRUSH THEM, Rams

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams


Eagles (-3.5) @ Lions: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKK!!!!
The Lions are going to win a game. And this is the one I think it will be. They're at home. They're playing a mediocre Eagles team; an Eagles team who are near the bottom of the league in rushing yards given up. The Lions have a good RB stable with Swift and Williams. I think this is the week for the Lions to get their first win.

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions


Steelers @ Browns (-3.5): I was considering this for my upset pick of the week, until I discovered that Baker Mayfield appears to be on track to play Sunday. I think his presence will be the difference for the Browns. The hook scares me a bit, but I will take those points

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns


Panthers @ Falcons (-3):  Glad the Falcons were favored because the Panthers are awful without CMC. And their defense has crashed back to Earth. Falcons are also on a rebound. I will take those points and those birds

Points: Falcons   Victory: Falcons


49ers (-4) @ Bears: Hate this game. Neither team has shown capabilities of scoring at will. Actually thought this line would be closer. In fact, this seems like a "Vegas knows something" line. I'm very suspicious. I think I will split the difference on this one because I'm getting mixed signals

Points: Bears     Victory: Niners


Patriots @ Chargers (-4.5): Pats should hang in there as they have done with other more talented teams but at the end of the day, I think the talent of the Chargers will win out in the end. If it was a bit higher, I might split but I will take the Chargers.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers


Jaguars @ Seahawks (-3.5): Man how far have the Seahawks have fallen. Only 3.5 point favorites against the Jaguars AT HOME. And you know what? That is not unjustified. I think Seattle wins by more than 4 points though, but any more and it could have been a split.

Points: Seahawks  Victory: Seahawks


Buccaneers (-4.5) @ Saints: The Saints and the Ravens are kindred spirits. You don't know what you are getting from then every week. The Bucs are more reliable so I'm going with them

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs


WFT @ Broncos (-3): Has to be the most boring game this week. And also I have no real call on it and seemingly Vegas agrees with me. I think I'm going to stick my neck out. And pick :
ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Broncos are awful and the Heineken man has not been awful, even ins losses (save 1). I will take Washington on the road.

Points: Football Team    Victory: Football Team


Cowboys (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM #2! Cowboys are expected to get Michael Gallup back which will add another weapon. The Vikings are kind of like the Patriots to me. They play hard but they don't really go anywhere. I will take Dallas to win.

Victory: Cowboys


Giants (-9.5) @ Chiefs: This is a must win for KC. They have been humiliated the past couple of weeks. The Giants are tough because their injury situation is a bit nebulous. But I think they can hang in that spread given the crappiness of the Chiefs defense. KC wins but they don't cover.

Points: Giants   Victory: Chiefs















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