Well my momentum stopped dead in its tracks. I went a disgusting 4-9 against the spread and 7-8 in the victory column. I misread a lot of games, including missing both my upset picks (Screw you Lions), so yeah.... Well, all that remains for me to do is to try again this week. Here's the record
Points: 48-53
Victories: 74-46
So using once again the DraftKings sportsbook for the odds, let's climb up the hill again.
Jets @ Colts (-10): This line bothers me for several reasons. I don't think the Colts are that better than the Jets, plus it's a Thursday night game which tend to be very sluggish and sloppy, and the Colts are coming off an all in heartbreaking loss to the Titans. I think the Colts will win but I can't give that huge amount away under these conditions. Gimme the points.
Points: Jets Victory: Colts
Bills (-14.5) @ Jaguars: The Bills had a bit of a scare last week but pulled away. I expect ironing out the details this week and the Bills kicking the crap out of the Jaguars
Points: Bills Victory: Bills
Broncos @ Cowboys (-10): I know Dak Prescott may be out again (leaning towards positive now), but the Broncos are awful. They tried to give me my upset last week and barely got away with it. Give me dem Cowboys.
Points: Cowboys Victory: Cowboys
Vikings @ Ravens (-6): On paper, these teams are very even statistically, but the Vikings are hurting really badly. They lost Danielle Hunter for the year, they had to put their center on the COVID list. I think this will hurt them in this game and the Ravens will win. I think they win a TD so give those points away.
Points: Ravens Victory: Ravens
Patriots (-3.5) @ Panthers: Even if it's not a haunting reunion (hehe) for Sam Darnold, I really like the Pats in this game. The Panthers can't score on offense and CMC seems like he's a week away, but even if he plays, I think Belichick will take him away, like he does all the time.
Points: Pats Victory: Pats
Raiders (-3.5) @ Giants: The Raiders did the right thing this week cutting Henry Ruggs immediately so that will not be a distraction. The Giants are once again, banged up with COVID and broken headsets. Seriously, Joe Judge should be ashamed of himself for that. Raiders will cover easily
Points: Raiders Victory: Raiders
Falcons @ Saints (-6): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKK!
I have to be honest. I was not going to pick this as my upset, as I had other options. But I didn't like any of the other options due to circumstances. Anyway, the Saints have been Jekyll and Hyde this year, they're coming off a massive win so a letdown could happen, and they will have to start Trevor Semien for a whole game with a team that has time to prepare. This is kind of a long shot, but thanks to some of my Twitter colleagues, I will go for it.
Points: Falcons Victory: Falcons
Texans @ Dolphins (-5.5): I know the Texans are hot garbage but so are the Dolphins. They played hard against Buffalo, but they're not that good. To me, this is a perfect line. This is where I would put the line. Tempted to take the points, but the Texans are so bad and they've screwed me so many times.
I can't do it.
Points: Dolphins Victory: Dolphins
Browns @ Bengals (-2.5): PICK'EM! The Bengals have to be licking their wounds after being the victims of Mike White and the Jets last week. And the Browns are currently staring at the crossroads in multiple ways. I think the Bengals bounce back in a major way.
Victory: Bengals
Chargers (-2) @ Eagles: PICK'EM #2! This line smacks of recency bias. Eagles kicked the crap out of the Lions and the Chargers lost to the Patriots. I think the Chargers win relatively easily. If they don't, time to sound the alarm bells.
Victory: Chargers
Packers @ Chiefs (-7.5): This game was a pick'em 2 days ago. Rodgers moved the needle that much. Although I am hesitant on the Chiefs because they have been icky this year, I have to think that they cover this. If they can't cover this, they are really screwed. I'll go with them, but they are sticking their neck out.
Points: Chiefs Victory: Chiefs
Cardinals @ Niners (-1): PICK'EM #3: This is an odd line too. After only one loss, the Cardinals are a one point underdog against the Niners? I'm sorry, even if Kyler Murray is out, I think the Cardinals have enough talent to get by, even if it is with Colt McCoy. I like the Cardinals
Victory: Cardinals
Titans @ Rams (-7.5): TBH, I'm surprised this line isn't a little bit bigger. Titans without their lord and master, Derrick Henry. Rams trading for Von Miller and going for broke in the NFC. The Rams will win and win handily I think as we see how much Henry was needed for the Titans.
Points: Rams Victory: Rams
Bears @ Steelers (-6): Once again, with all honesty, this was going to be my upset pick of the week until I found out that Matt Nagy is going to be back on the sidelines. How depressing must that be for a Bears fan that their coach depresses their chances of winning upon returning? It's as close to Adam Gase as you can get. I think the Steelers win BUT....the Steelers are blah too so I will take those points.
Points: Bears Victory: Steelers
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