Yes, I am back with 2023 NFL picks. The rules, as you remember, are quite simple. If the spread is under 3 points. I classify it as a pick'em game. I (most of the time) have one upset pick of the week, which features a spread of more than 3 points. I pick the spread winner and the actual victor. With those rules in place and using the odds that are set by the Draftkings Sportsbook; Let us begin.
Texans @ Ravens (-10): I have had problems with the Ravens in the past in terms of spreads, but the Texans are going to be without their RT. And I think the new OC of the Ravens wants to make a statement.
Points: Ravens Victory: Ravens
Buccaneers @ Vikings (-5.5): Vikings have a new DC in. I think they will play it up. The spread is just right for me to stay with the home team
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
Niners (-2) @ Steelers: PICK'EM! Sneaky good game. Niners should win, now that Bosa is back in the fold, but I think it will be a low scoring affair. I will take the Niners to sneak by.
Victory: Niners
Bengals (-2.5) @ Browns: PICK'EM! This would have been my upset pick of the week if it was a 3 point spread. Burrow didn't really play in the preseason so he's a bit rusty. It's a road game at Cleveland. The Bengals last year also got off to a slow start. I think the Browns will come out and win at home
Victory: Browns
Jaguars (-5) @ Colts: Give me the Jaguars all the way. No Taylor for the Colts, a rookie QB. I think the Jags are going to romp'em.
Points: Jaguars Victory: Jaguars
Titans @ Saints (-3): I'll lean New Orleans because of the home advantage. Both teams are relatively healthy, but Carr in his new home will prevail
Points: Saints Victory: Saints
Panthers @ Falcons (-3.5): Carolina better pray their offensive line is much better than they looked in the preseason because Bryce Young will get destroyed. I will take Atlanta.
Points: Falcons Victory: Falcons
Cardinals @ Commanders (-7): The Commies have a new owner, they're getting the crowds back there, and the Cardinals are in the process of a semi-tank. The spread concerns me a bit, but I will trust the Commies at home
Points: Commies Victory: Commies
Eagles (-4) @ Patriots: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!
When an offense does very well one season, the NFL usually goes to school on it to see if they can stop it. Eagles were so good offensively last year and now they get Belichick in Week 1. Patriots also have BoB back at offensive coordinator, so Mac Jones should be better. I will take New England over Philadelphia at Gillette
Points: Patriots Victory: Patriots
Dolphins @ Chargers (-3): Vic Fangio should be an improvement for the Dolphins defense, but the Dolphins secondary is banged up. This could be a shootout. I'm going to play it safe. I will take the Dolphins with the points, but the Chargers to win.
Points: Dolphins Victory: Chargers
Rams @ Seahawks (-5): The piper has come for the Rams, leaving them with some high-priced players and a lot of questionable depth. Seattle, if they are serious on continuing the progress they made last year, should handle them.
Points: Seahawks Victory: Seahawks
Packers @ Bears (-1.5): PICK'EM! Now that Aaron Rodgers is gone, do the Packers still own the Bears? I don't think so. If the Bears want to take another step, this is a game they should win. I will take the Bears, although I feel meh about it.
Victory: Bears
Raiders @ Broncos (-3.5): I think the Broncos should win in the home debut for Sean Payton, but the hook scares me a bit. I'll take the Broncs and give the points, but I feel uneasy about it.
Points: Broncos Victory: Broncos
Cowboys (-3.5) @ Giants: News broke today that Darren Waller has a hamstring injury which is huge because he was brought in to be their main weapon. The Giants have to show me they can beat Dallas. so until then, I will go with Dallas. BUT, these games are usually close, so I will split the difference.
Points: Giants Victory: Cowboys
Bills (-2.5) @ Jets: PICK'EM! I lean Buffalo because they have played together longer and I think Rodgers will struggle a bit to begin within the Jets offense. But honestly, I wouldn't be surprised either way. Close game, but I lean Buffalo because of the experience.
Victory: Bills
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