Friday, September 22, 2023

Greg's NFL Picks Week #3

 Well I did better than I did in Week 1, but still not great. Including my dumb decision to take the Giants' points last night, I went 6-7 on the spread and 10-6 in victories. That brings my total after 2 weeks to:

Points: 10-15

Victories: 18-14


And now for the picks:


Bills (-6.5) @ Commanders: The Bills got healthy against the Raiders and I have the hook of a TD cover. However, I am hesitant because of the weather, the Bills do not have a power running game outside the QB. I think I will stick with Buffalo, but I'm iffy.

Points: Bills   Victory: Bills


Broncos @ Dolphins (-6.5): This is tempting me because Miami's defense has not been great the first two weeks, but Vic Fangio is out for vengeance against his former team. And again, I have a TD cover. Give me Miami.

Points: Dolphins   Victory: Dolphins


Texans @ Jaguars (-8.5): This is slightly scary. but I think Jacksonville needs to beat Houston at home. Houston has the best record at Jacksonville of any of the AFC South teams. And they are slightly banged up. I will take Jacksonville, slightly nervous.

Points: Jaguars    Victory: Jaguars


Falcons @ Lions (-3): Falcons are 2-0, but they don't really feel like a 2-0 team. Detroit needs to bounce back. I think they hand the Falcons their first loss. However, the Lions are really banged up on the defense and the Falcons can run the ball. So I'm going to split the difference.

Points: Falcons    Victory: Lions


Colts @ Ravens (-8): This is a split line for me. I think the Ravens win, but I have problems with the Ravens in terms of covering some numbers. And Gardner Minshew has played well for the Colts. I think the Ravens win by 7 which means I will take the points.

Points: Colts     Victory: Ravens


Patriots (-2.5) @ Jets: PICK'EM! Weather could be a key factor in this game, but it comes down, once again, to showing me. The Jets need to show me they can beat New England. Until then....

Victory: Patriots


Chargers @ Vikings (-1): PICK'EM! Maybe the most entertaining game between two 0-2 teams. I will go with the home team as both teams are basically mirror images of each other.

Victory: Vikings


Titans @ Browns (-3.5): Browns defense will have to go into overdrive in this particular game as Kareem Hunt gets into form replacing Nick Chubb. And Tennessee is susceptible to turnovers in bunches as they have shown this year. I will take the Browns

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns


Saints @ Packers (-1) PICK'EM! Despite their defensive collapse at Atlanta, I still like the Packers. Jordan Love has been pretty good for them in the early going. I will take the Packers. 

Victory: Packers


Panthers @ Seahawks (-5.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!
For the second week in a row, Seattle is involved, only this time, they are going to get knocked off. Coming off a big win at Detroit, there might be a little letdown. But there are two major factors for me. One, Seattle is REALLY banged up on both sides of the ball. Secondly, Andy Dalton is getting the start instead of Bryce Young for Carolina. He should handle the atmosphere better. Panthers are going to win a game eventually and this is it.

Points: Panthers    Victory: Panthers


Cowboys (-12.5) @ Cardinals: The Cardinals have been game for the first two weeks. That number is a bit too high to me. Especially at home. Cowboys win, but probably by ten points.

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cowboys


Bears @ Chiefs (-12.5): If you've had a bad week, rest assured the Chicago Bears have had a worse week. Fields calls out the coaches publicly. their DC is forced to resign after the FBI raids his house, and crooks break into Soldier Field and steal 100k worth of equipment. And the bad week will culminate in a drubbing at Kansas City.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs


Steelers @ Raiders (-2.5): PICK'EM! This is a toss up for me. Both teams are kind of meh. I'll go with the Raiders because Jimmy G has shown me more than Kenny Pickett so far.

Victory: Raiders


Eagles (-5) @ Buccaneers: Bucs are the surprise here at 2-0, but I think they get a rude awakening on Monday night. Eagles really haven't played great, but that could be a motivator for them to keep up the pressure. I will take the Eagles because they have the proven track record. But....... I will play it a bit safe by splitting the difference.

Points: Bucs     Victory: Eagles


Rams @ Bengals (-2.5): PICK'EM! Go time for the Bengals. They have to win this game. I think they will, but it will be uncomfortable.

Victory: Bengals



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