As we hit unlucky 13, it is for me to say that I got a bit unlucky on some of my picks last week. The one I barely missed was the Bucs Falcons game. Bucs were giving 11 and they won by 13. I started off hot but sputtered during the late games. As such I went 6-7 against the spread and 9-5 in the victory column. That brings my season total to:
Points: 70-84
Victories: 116-75
So once again, using the Draftkings Sportsbook for the odds, let us speculate.
Steelers @ Vikings (-3): The Vikings should be embarrassed at what happened to them last week. They had the Lions 4th and goal and they blew it. The Steelers squeaked past the Ravens, but there is a big problem. They are without their #1 corner Joe Haden, which should leave it open for Thielen. Plus Dalvin Cook is scheduled to return. I know Cousins has sucked in primetime games, but I'm going with Minnesota to sneak by.
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
Cowboys (-4.5) @ WFT: I am aching in myself to make this the upset pick of the week. Cowboys are banged up, especially at running back and Washington is on a roll. But there's something holding me back. I think it's just the feeling that the Cowboys aren't going to lose to this team, right? I am petrified of this game. So petrified that I am going to split the decision.
Points: WFT Victory: Cowboys
Ravens @ Browns (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKK!!!!!!!!!!!
The mystery box that is the Baltimore Ravens is coming off a horrific loss to the Steelers. So naturally, I think they will bounce back with a good effort against Cleveland. I think Cleveland can slow them down, but Landry is questionable, meaning Baker Mayfield will not have a lot to work with. I think the Ravens bounce back and send Cleveland under .500
Points: Ravens Victory: Ravens
Raiders @ Chiefs (-9.5): So last week, I got burned for falling into the "Division" trap and the Chiefs absolutely manhandled the Broncos. Should I go back to that well. Vegas, I think, is better than Denver, So I think the game should be closer. The hook is interesting here. I can see the Chiefs winning by 10 so I will take the Chiefs slightly with the points.
Points: Chiefs Victory: Chiefs
Falcons @ Panthers (-2.5): PICK'EM! These two teams are bad. Falcons have squeaked by some games though and have shown gumption, while Carolina seems to be in self-destruct mode. Give me the Falcons.
Victory: Falcons
Jaguars @ Titans (-8.5): I don't care if the Titans are shot to hell, they'll cover. I'm done thinking about Jacksonville. they suck.
Points: Titans Victory: Titans
Saints (-5.5) @ Jets: This is going to be an ugly game. Saints will have Kamara back, but he hasn't really had a great year. Ingram will be a big loss because he's the back that they use for screens and the Jets really struggle against screens. There is also a chance of ice. I think the Saints win, but I don't think they cover, especially if Zach Wilson continues to improve.
Points: Jets Victory: Saints
Seahawks (-8.5) @ Texans: This is just like the Jaguars game. I don't trust Houston one bit. I know Seattle is hurting. I don't care. Houston looks like they've given up. Seattle easy.
Points: Seahawks Victory: Seahawks
Giants @ Chargers (-10): I think it's very possible the Chargers could come in with a risk for a letdown. But then I see the Giants and think "NAAAAH" Even if the Giants defense slows down Herbert, they can't score the football. Might be a bit of a slog at first, but Chargers pull away for a dominant victory.
Points: Chargers Victory: Chargers
Lions @ Broncos (-10): I think the Broncos will win this game, but I think the Lions, basking in the glow of their first win, will keep it a little closer than 10 points. Which means, of course, the Lions will get blown out again. So it is written and so shall it be done.
Points: Lions Victory: Broncos
Bills @ Buccaneers (-3.5): So after the Bills get run over (literally) by New England, they then have to face their other tormentor immediately the next week in Tom Brady. The Bills have basically been on tilt for the last 6 weeks or so. Talent has gotten them by, but not all the time. They are in trouble. And I think Tom Brady smells blood. I will take the Bucs by at least 6 points.
Points: Bucs Victory: Bucs
49ers (-2) @ Bengals: PICK'EM #2! This is a suspicious line to me. They're both coming off of bad losses. The Bengals are playing at home. They are relatively healthy. The Niners aren't really that flashy. And they're a 2 point favorite? I'll take the Bengals because I think they're the better team. Thank you very much.
Victory: Bengals
Bears @ Packers (-12.5): I don't like Matt Nagy's chances here. Rodgers will take ownership again and win. Bears don't have a ton of their weapons. I will take the Packers to pound the Bears.
Points: Packers Victory: Packers
Rams @ Cardinals (-2): PICK'EM #3! A dominating victory against the Jaguars doesn't quite make me trust in the Rams enough, especially if the Cardinals are now back to full strength and are rolling. The Cardinals probably are the quietest best record team in NFL history. And I think they will continue.
Victory: Cardinals
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