So there's two big things to mention this week. One is that I rolled right through the week last week, going 7-4 against the spread and a damn good 10-3 in victories. The bad news is that COVID has begun to ravage the NFL so that might be a problem with the odds, especially on a Thursday when I pick these games. I will do my best given the knowledge I have at the present moment. I will also keep my explanations brief, because quite honestly, I find it hard to get enthused for certain games.
Anyway, my seasonal record:
Points: 77-88
Victories: 126-78
And now with the help of the Draftkings Sportsbook, let's rock
Chiefs (-3) @ Chargers: Big game for the Chargers to see if they truly belong amongst the AFC elite. Chargers however are without their best RB which will hurt them in terms of possessing the football. I think the Chiefs squeak by, but to hedge my bet...
Points: Chargers Victory: Chiefs
Raiders (-1.5) @ Browns: PICK'EM! There are a lot of bad spreads this week, and it's all fluid because of COVID. The Browns are COVID hell missing a lot of people (including Baker Mayfield not from COVID). I think the Raiders get desperate and win this game
Victory: Raiders
Patriots @ Colts (-2): PICK'EM #2! Key test for Mac Jones to see if he can handle an intense road atmosphere. If Carson Wentz continues to play the way he has, they will win because even the Pats limit Taylor, the Colts will have options. Give me the Colts
Victory: Colts
Cardinals (-12.5) @ Lions: Worst thing that could have happened to Lions was the Cardinals losing on Monday night. Now they come out focused and intent on crushing Detroit. Give me the Cards, even with the big spread.
Points: Cardinals Victory: Cardinals
Cowboys (-11) @ Giants: Thought for a second about divisional pride and the Cowboys being a little banged up. I'm going to take a chance. I think this game is within 10 points. So I will take the points here.
Points: Giants Victory: Cowboys
Panthers @ Bills (-11): Bills showed gumption against Tampa but came up short. I think they carry that momentum against Carolina who are just blah. Give those points away.
Points: Bills Victory: Bills
WFT @ Eagles (-9.5): Washington has been destroyed by COVID and other injuries which has led to this big of a spread. I think if they were healthier, I would give them a chance, but I think the Eagles just wear them out and win by 10.
Points: Eagles Victory: Eagles
Jets @ Dolphins (-9.5): This is also tempting because Miami might be without Jaylen Waddle and several RBs but their defense has been lights out recently so I don't think the Jets score enough. They also win by 10.
Points: Dolphins Victory: Dolphins
Titans (-1) @ Steelers: PICK'EM #3! Honestly, I don't know if Tennessee has the running game left to gash the Steelers defense like Minnesota did last Thursday. I think the Steelers are proud enough that they will reach down and get a victory just to keep themselves alive
Victory: Steelers
Texans @ Jaguars (-3.5): Now that the horrible stench of Urban Meyer is gone from Jacksonville, maybe they can get themselves together and win a few games. Texans are tanking, I think they give in and give the Jags something to cheer about.
Points: Jags Victory: Jaguars
Falcons @ 49ers (-9.5): I still don't believe in the Niners. It's very weird. Kittle being back has transformed their offense. But something is telling me that the Falcons will keep this close. I don't know, this one has me baffled. I'll give the points, but something's nagging at me.
Points: Niners Victory: Niners
Bengals @ Broncos (-2.5): PSEUDO UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!
This week is so bad spread wise and game wise for that matter that I have to break one of my pet peeves and go for a pick'em upset in my book. Bengals will be desperate and I think they will beat Denver. I just think Burrow will be more dynamic than Bridgewater,
Victory: Bengals
Packers @ Ravens (-5.5): When a QB that is strong running the football injures his legs, that's a bad sign. Lamar might play, but I don't think he will be that effective. Packers ROLL.
Points: Packers Victory: Packers
Seahawks @ Rams (-5.5): I considered Seattle for a legit upset pick of the week, but I don't know if they are healthy enough to pull it off. Plus they are on the road. I will be cautious though because there can be legit concern for a Rams letdown. So I will take the points and hedge
Points: Seahawks Victory: Rams
Saints @ Buccaneers (-11): This is a revenge game for the Bucs and I think they will use it. Saints were not impressive against the Jets, and I think the Bucs will beat their skulls in.
Points: Bucs Victory: Bucs
Vikings (-4.5) @ Bears: I know the Vikings can be a bit shaky but they should beat the Bears up.
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
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