Well, it took the expectation of turkey to bring out the best in my football predicting mind. A major bounce back for me this week as I go 6-3 against the spread and 9-6 in the victory column. That raises my season total to:
Points: 64-77
Victories: 107-70
Plus, I just missed my upset pick of the week (Screw you Lions) but I got my upset pick adjacent correct (Yay Jets). Not much for more to me to say except I use the Draftkings Sportsbook for these odds. Let's begin
Cowboys (-6) @ Saints: The Saints are really banged up and the Cowboys will missing a lot of their coaches, which some people believe will help the Cowboys instead of hindering them. The Saints defense is good, but I think the Cowboys realize that they need this game and will rise to the occasion. Without Kamara, I don't know how they hold onto the ball. Hesitantly, I'll give the points away.
Points: Cowboys Victory: Cowboys
Buccaneers (-11) @ Falcons: The Falcons are hanging on for dear life in the NFC wild card race and will put out their best effort to stay in it. I don't know what the mindset for the Bucs is. They seem to be very mercurial about their output. I think they win, but I'm not sure that they cover.
Points: Falcons Victory: Bucs
Colts (-9.5) @ Texans: The Texans are garbage. The Jets spotted them a 14-3 lead and they blew it. Colts are on a roll, even in a losing effort. I expect the Colts to roll
Points: Colts Victory: Colts
Cardinals (-7.5) @ Bears: The hook is a bit scary, but I don't believe in the Bears for one minute after beating the Lions. The Cardinals are undefeated on the road and I expect them to stay that way, Kyler or not. Again, the hook scares me a touch but I will take the Cardinals
Points: Cardinals Victory: Cardinals
Vikings (-7) @ Lions: Interesting line here. Vikings have played well and the Lions are low. If they had beaten the Niners, this might be a sneaky upset pick of the week, But I have to believe the Vikings will have their foot on the pedal, even losing Dalvin Cook. I can't trust the Lions to win a game until they actually do it. Gimme the Vikings
Points: Vikings Victory: Vikings
Eagles (-7) @ Jets: It looks Jalen Hurts will play on his sprained ankle, which might slow him down a bit, but they should still be able to run the football. This is a bit of a show me game for the Jets defense. They stopped Houston pretty nicely, but they have to prove they can put back to back solid performances in a row. Until they do, I can't buy into them
Points: Eagles Victory: Eagles
Giants @ Dolphins (-4.5): Right now, it's up in the air whether Daniel Jones will play, but will it even matter? The Fins' defense has finally found its 2020 form. And Tua seems to have settled in for Miami to make a playoff push. This line should be a bit higher.
Points: Dolphins Victory: Dolphins
Chargers @ Bengals (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!
This game is all about desperation. The Chargers are stuck in the wild wild AFC West tied with Vegas and Denver. Coming off of a divisional loss, they NEED to win this game. The Bengals, on the other hand, are coming off a major blowout of the Steelers. Letdown possibility? You bet. Give me the Chargers to take the game they need.
Points: Chargers Victory: Chargers
WFT@ Raiders (-2.5): PICK'EM! I don't know if any of you follow any football related stories but there is a Raiders fan on Reddit who has predicted every Raiders game correctly this year via a coin flip. So far this fan has been perfect. The coin flip this week has the Raiders beating Washington. So I will either bask in the glory of this madness or end it entirely. I will take the Raiders.
Victory: Raiders
Jaguars @ Rams (-12.5): Rams get the Jaguars at exactly the right time. However, do the Rams deserve that big of a line? I'm not exactly sure. I'm going to stick my neck out here a bit and split it. I will take the points. God have mercy on me.
Points: Jaguars Victory: Rams
49ers (-3.5) @ Seahawks: Two teams going in completely different directions. Niners have begun to find themselves, kind of like Miami. Seattle is going downhill and they don't even have a top draft pick to compensate for it. If the Niners are truly back, they should kick the crap out of Seattle. And that's what I think they will do.
Points: Niners Victory: Niners
Ravens (-4) @ Steelers: Just like with the Eagles and Jets, I don't know if Pittsburgh's defense is healthy or good enough to slow down Baltimore to get to Lamar's weakness. I think the Ravens put the death knell in the Steelers' season here.
Points: Ravens Victory: Ravens
Broncos @ Chiefs (-9.5): I still don't know if I can trust the Chiefs offensively. So to me, that spread is a bit too high, especially against a divisional opponent. I do think the Chiefs win,but give me Denver with the points.
Points: Broncos Victory: Chiefs
Patriots @ Bills (-3): Seems to me that the Bills have basically been sleepwalking until this game. They got out to such a big divisional lead that they seemed to get a little complacent in their executions. This is a game they need to win for their own psyche, not only in the division, but in the conference. I think the Bills get it done. BUT, to be safe, I will split it.
Points: Pats Victory: Bills
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