Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week #8

 So I seem to be on a bit of a roll as of late. 6-4 against the points and a great 10-3 in the victory department. Including nailing my 3rd straight upset pic of the week. So that brings my season total to:

Points: 44-44

Victory: 67-38

I might be feeling my oats this week a bit, I'm not sure. BTW I know I put "Week 6" twice, but what can you do? So, using the odds provided by the Draftkings Sportsbook, let's roll.

Packers @ Cardinals (-6.5): Green Bay is banged up in the WR department but Arizona lost JJ Watt for the season, a key component to their defense. Plus, Thursday Night games are usually sloppy and somewhat low scoring. I think the Cardinals win, but that spread is very close. I'll take the Cardinals but hesitantly.

Points: Cardinals    Victory: Cardinals

Bengals (-10.5) @ Jets: This game screams trap/letdown for the Bengals. But the Jets are so banged up defensively that I think they will win rather easily. If this spread went a little higher, I would have taken the Jets. But it's still in range for me to take Cincinnati. 

Points: Bengals   Victory: Bengals

Dolphins @ Bills (-14): The Bills are out for vengeance and the Dolphins are garbage. Send those points way.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Titans @ Colts (-1.5): PICK'EM! Two teams that have seemingly found themselves via their runs games. But to me, I will take Derrick Henry over Johnathan Taylor. I think the Titans are more battle tested than the Colts. Give me the Titans

Victory: Titans

Rams (-14.5) @ Texans: I'm done with Houston and large spreads. They are awful and the Rams will be looking to make a statement after messing with the Lions last week. CRUSH THEM, Rams

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams

Eagles (-3.5) @ Lions: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKK!!!!

The Lions are going to win a game. And this is the one I think it will be. They're at home. They're playing a mediocre Eagles team; an Eagles team who are near the bottom of the league in rushing yards given up. The Lions have a good RB stable with Swift and Williams. I think this is the week for the Lions to get their first win.

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions

Steelers @ Browns (-3.5): I was considering this for my upset pick of the week, until I discovered that Baker Mayfield appears to be on track to play Sunday. I think his presence will be the difference for the Browns. The hook scares me a bit, but I will take those points

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns

Panthers @ Falcons (-3):  Glad the Falcons were favored because the Panthers are awful without CMC. And their defense has crashed back to Earth. Falcons are also on a rebound. I will take those points and those birds

Points: Falcons   Victory: Falcons

49ers (-4) @ Bears: Hate this game. Neither team has shown capabilities of scoring at will. Actually thought this line would be closer. In fact, this seems like a "Vegas knows something" line. I'm very suspicious. I think I will split the difference on this one because I'm getting mixed signals

Points: Bears     Victory: Niners

Patriots @ Chargers (-4.5): Pats should hang in there as they have done with other more talented teams but at the end of the day, I think the talent of the Chargers will win out in the end. If it was a bit higher, I might split but I will take the Chargers.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers

Jaguars @ Seahawks (-3.5): Man how far have the Seahawks have fallen. Only 3.5 point favorites against the Jaguars AT HOME. And you know what? That is not unjustified. I think Seattle wins by more than 4 points though, but any more and it could have been a split.

Points: Seahawks  Victory: Seahawks

Buccaneers (-4.5) @ Saints: The Saints and the Ravens are kindred spirits. You don't know what you are getting from then every week. The Bucs are more reliable so I'm going with them

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs

WFT @ Broncos (-3): Has to be the most boring game this week. And also I have no real call on it and seemingly Vegas agrees with me. I think I'm going to stick my neck out. And pick :

ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Broncos are awful and the Heineken man has not been awful, even ins losses (save 1). I will take Washington on the road.

Points: Football Team    Victory: Football Team

Cowboys (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM #2! Cowboys are expected to get Michael Gallup back which will add another weapon. The Vikings are kind of like the Patriots to me. They play hard but they don't really go anywhere. I will take Dallas to win.

Victory: Cowboys

Giants (-9.5) @ Chiefs: This is a must win for KC. They have been humiliated the past couple of weeks. The Giants are tough because their injury situation is a bit nebulous. But I think they can hang in that spread given the crappiness of the Chiefs defense. KC wins but they don't cover.

Points: Giants   Victory: Chiefs

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 6

 It always pays to play safe at times. A couple of my point splits paid off big time and as a result, I went 

7-5 against the spread and 9-5 overall, including my upset pick of the week, once again. So that brings my results to:

Points: 38-40

Victory: 57-35

This week however, seems to be challenging, so it's going to be tough to find an upset or a split. So, with the odds provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook, let's see what I can do.

Broncos @ Browns (-1.5): PICK'EM! Thank goodness this is a pick'em because I have no clue in this game. Cleveland is banged up but the Broncos have kind of stalled after their great (fraudulent) start. In this game, I think Case Keenum will do just enough to get the Browns to a victory. I just don't think the Broncos are skilled enough.

Victory: Browns

WFT @ Packers (-7.5): The hook bothers me in this case, but I think I have to go Green Bay. Washington is hurting a bit and their defense is still a disappointment. Slightly hesitantly, I will take the Packers

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Jets @ Patriots (-6.5): In this case, the hook is absolutely delightful because a touchdown is the perfect line IMO. I don't expect Zach Wilson to throw 4 picks again, but I think he will struggle again and the Jets lose by 7, so give me the Pats

Points: Pats    Victory: Pats

Bengals @ Ravens (-6.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKKK!!!!!!!!!

Does anybody have any clue what the Ravens are? They have been a total mystery all year. And for that reason, I can absolutely see a bit of a letdown after pounding the Chargers. Bengals got by the Lions trap with ease and now are focused in on this game. Because of the unpredictability of the Ravens, I'm going with the Bengals

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Chiefs (-5) @ Titans: If this game was in a week or so, I would take Tennessee. But coming off a short week with an emotional win over Buffalo, I don't know if the Titans can muster up that energy again, especially Derrick Henry. I will take the Chiefs to eventually wear down the Titans

Points: Chiefs     Victory: Chiefs

Panthers (-2.5) @ Giants: PICK'EM #2! This is going to be an ugly game. Giants are a M*A*S*H unit and the Panthers are still without their key player. In the end, the loss of Andrew Thomas is fatal, I believe. Panthers defense will score in this game and they will win

Victory: Panthers

Falcons (-2.5) @ Dolphins: PICK'EM #3! I nailed the Dolphins exactly last week. They are a mess. And now, with Deshaun Watson rumors cranking up, how will Tua, who had a good game last week, respond. And how will their fans respond? Give me Atlanta.

Victory: Falcons

Lions @ Rams (-15.5): The thing that should scare you is if Sean McVay takes his foot off the gas like he did against the Giants last week,. Now the spread was 10 last week. However, the Rams did not play well last week, IMO. They could have hung 60 on the Giants if they played well. So I think they will cover because of the Rams familiarity with Goff and the fact that they should impetus to play a better game than last week.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams

Eagles @ Raiders (-3): I thought about this for a second, but the Eagles defense has been susceptible to high powered offenses and Derek Carr is having one of the best years of his career. I think the Raiders win comfortably.

Points: Raiders    Victory: Raiders

Texans @ Cardinals (-17.5): Once again, the Texans leave me with a bad option. In this case however, the Cardinals have a big game against Green Bay next week and there may be a bit of looking ahead. Fool me once, shame on you....

Points: Texans    Victory: Cardinals

Bears @ Buccaneers (-12): I'm taking a flyer on this game. Bears defense has been very solid and they are going to run the ball a lot just to play keep away. I think the Bears keep it under the spread, but Tampa wins

Points: Bears    Victory: Bucs

Colts @ 49ers (-4.5): You know the crappiness of this week is cemented when THIS game is the best NBC could come up with for the primetime slot. I could care less about this game. I think the Colts keep it close but the Niners win.

Points: Colts   Victory: Niners

Saints (-4.5) @ Seahawks: This game scares me to death. New Orleans is like Baltimore. You don't know what you are getting from them. And Seattle played solidly against Pittsburgh. I think the Saints will win, but I'm feeling a bit cautious so...

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Saints

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 6

 Slightly bounced back from last week's debacle. I went 5-7 in the points and 12-4 in the victories department, nailing the upset pick of the week. That brings me to:

Points: 31-35

Victories: 48-30

Want to get to it so without further ado, let's do it. (with the Draftkings Sportsbook odds hehe)

Buccaneers (-6.5) @ Eagles: I have been burned on Thursday night games so far this season, and the Bucs have a tendency so far to be a bit wobbly against the spread. The Eagles showed some toughness against the Panthers so I think they will show up. If it were 7.5 I would take the Eagles easily. I'll take the Bucs but the Thursday night factor scares me

Points: Bucs  Victory: Bucs

Dolphins (-3) @ Jaguars: YE OLDE UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wanted to use that last week and glad I didn't. Miami might be the most disappointing team in the AFC. Their defense is trash. and their offense has been non existent. Even if Tua comes back, I still don't like them. And the Jaguars are now no longer the team with the controversial coach (or ex/coach). I think the Jaguars, in their future home, get on the board.

Points: Jaguars   Victory: Jaguars

Chiefs (-6.5) @ WFT: After getting depantsed on national primetime TV, the Chiefs will be out for blood. Their defense still sucks, but I don't think Washington can take advantage. Gimme the Chiefs.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Rams (-10) @ Giants: How bad is your opponent that you are a 10 point favorite ON THE ROAD? Anyway, as of this moment, it looks like Jones will play but others won't. I don't think he should. "Let's have a guy coming off a concussion go against Aaron Donald" Such a smart idea. I hope the Rams kick the crap out of them if he does. Serves them right.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams

Packers (-5.5) @ Bears: Matt Nagy gives away the play calling duties and the offense looks better. Surprise Surprise. Anyway, this is an interesting spread. I think if it was bit higher, I could chance the Bears but I'm going to play it safe and take the Pack

Points: Packers  Victory: Packers

Texans @ Colts (-10): This is way too high for me. The Colts played one of their best games against Baltimore and blew it in OT. They are better than the Texans, but a Texans team that hung with New England? No thank you.

Points: Texans   Victory: Colts

Chargers @ Ravens (-2.5): PICK'EM! I'm starting to get high on the Chargers. Love me some Brandon Staley. And I will ride them 'til the cows come home.

Victory: Chargers

Bengals (-3.5) @ Lions: LOVE THIS LINE because I can jump on the Lions pain bandwagon. How many different ways can the Lions lose a game this year? I can totally see the Lions making this a game and losing at the last minute. AGAIN.

Points: Lions   Victory: Bengals

Vikings (-2) @ Panthers: PICK'EM #2!  This game might come down to whether Christian McCaffrey can play. Because without McCaffrey, Sam Darnold has reverted back to his Jets days. As of now, he is 50-50 to play. Losing two straight might push Matt Rhule's hands into making him play. I will say he plays and the Panthers win

Victory: Panthers

Cardinals @ Browns (-3.5):  This could have been my upset pick of the week, but I've been thinking...

Cleveland comes off a heartbreaking loss to the Chargers and the Cardinals come in as the only undefeated team left in the NFL. Cardinals have sleepwalked a couple of times and I think this time if they do, they will get bit. Browns need this game and I think they will get it. BUT....to be safe and I think it will be a close game....

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Browns

Cowboys (-3) @ Patriots: I just think the Cowboys are a better team that wear you down defensively. I think New England will show up and Mac Jones will be okay, I just think the Cowboys offense will be too much. 

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys

Raiders @ Broncos (-3.5): The question here is whether Denver can offensively take advantage of a Raiders team in disarray? My head says the Broncos will win. but my gut can see the Raiders circling the wagons and playing "the world is out to get us" card. So I will play it cautious again. Sorry.

Points: Raiders   Victory: Broncos

Seahawks @ Steelers (-5.5): Seahawks are toast. No other way to put it. THEY ARE TOAST. Now, 5.5 is a solid number, and the Steelers aren't great, but the Hawks are toast.

Points: Steelers    Victory: Steelers

Bills (-5.5) @ Titans: Is there a letdown chance? Yeah. But I don't think the Titans have enough to take advantage of the letdown. The Buffalo March of Doom continues. The Bills are the best team in the NFL and will continue to show it.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 5

 Last week was good and horrible. I went a very strong 10-6 in the victory department. But against the spread, a very stinky 4-8. I underestimated a lot of teams and missed on a few upsets. So through 4 weeks:

Points: 26-28

Victories: 38-26

Point spreads were set on the Thursday by the Draftkings Sportsbook. And AWAY WE GOOOO!

Rams (-2) @ Seahawks: PICK'EM! Can anybody figure out these two teams? Rams were on a roll but got stung by the Cardinals. I vowed not to pick the Seahawks anymore and then they got by the Niners. This to me is a coin flip, I'll take Seattle because they're at home. But I don't know.

Victory: Seahawks

Jets @ Falcons (-3): I am VERRRRRRY tempted. Especially with the news that Calvin Ridley will not even make the trip to London. But something is holding me back. I don't know how the Jets youth will handle prosperity and their linebacking corps is decimated with injuries which doesn't match well with newfound Falcons weapon Cordarrelle Patterson. Nevertheless, I will hedge my bet here.

Points: Jets    Victory: Falcons

Dolphins @ Buccaneers (-10): Miami is reeling a bit here. They just lost Will Fuller for the year to an injury and their defense has regressed. I think Tampa makes a statement here with a dominating win. But 10 is a big number, especially with no Gronk. If it were 8 points, I would take the Bucs easily. But at 10, I will light a candle and pray to the football gods.

Points: Bucs   Victory: Bucs

Packers (-3) @ Bengals: The Bengals are 20th in the NFL in points per game which is a bit surprising. Joe Mixon has not been the running threat that he should be. I think the Packers win this by 6 or so I will take the Pack

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Eagles @ Panthers (-3): I was tempted to pick the Eagles in this one, but the latest rumblings is that Christian McCaffrey might be a go which would spell doom for the Eagles. so give me the Panthers

Points: Panthers    Victory: Panthers

Patriots (-8.5) @ Texans: Bill Belichick against a rookie QB. Need I say more?

Points: Patriots    Victory: Patriots

Titans (-4) @ Jaguars: Titans have to be steaming mad they blew the game to the Jets last week. And Jacksonville is caught up in UrbanGate. If the Titans don't win this game, there is something seriously wrong with them. I will take the Titans, hesitantly.

Points: Titans     Victory: Titans

Lions @ Vikings (-10): I know the Lions didn't upset the Bears last week, but do I believe in the Minnesota enough to outscore the Lions by 10. The better question may be should I expect the Lions to score enough. I'm going to take the Vikings but I don't like it.

Points: Vikings   Victory: Vikings

Saints (-2.5) @ WFT: PICK'EM #2! This line screams "Vegas knows something" Washington's defense has been the most disappointing unit in the NFL this year. I know the Saints are conservative but surely, they can beat Washington. I would also maybe account for a letdown after the comeback win last week.

Victory: Saints

Broncos @ Steelers (-1): PICK'EM #3! Steelers are in a very difficult spot. They are not nearly the team they used to be and are staring 1-4 in the face. This game will be ugly and at the end of the day, I think I trust Teddy over Ben. I will take the Broncos

Victory: Broncos

Browns @ Chargers (-2): PICK'EM #4! I keep waiting for the other shoe to drop with the Chargers. But they seem so settled. Anthony Lynn was a DISASTER coaching them last year and Brandon Staley seems to have more control and be more decisive. I think they continue to roll.

Victory: Chargers

Bears @ Raiders (-5.5): This spread is interesting. I think if the Raiders had beaten the Chargers, this would have been another trap game. But I will bet that Gruden will have them ready. I will take the Raiders barely over the spread

Points: Raiders   Victory: Raiders

Giants @ Cowboys (-6.5): I think this will be a classic NFC East competitive game. The Giants usually keep it close down there. But I think Dallas (Dak especially) has been on a mission all year to prove doubters wrong. I think Dallas ends up winning but I will take the points

Points: Giants     Victory: Cowboys

49ers @ Cardinals (-4.5): This is another line that screams "Vegas knows something" If Garappolo doesn't play, and he did not practice today so it's trending that way, I don't see how the Niners win unless the Cardinals have a major letdown which is possible. But I think they have proven enough to not have that letdown so I will take Arizona

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals

Bills @ Chiefs (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!

The Chiefs defense has played like garbage. All year. No sugar coating it. And ever since losing to the Steelers in Week 1, the Bills have played with rage and vengeance and anger. This is a statement game for them. To become the class of the AFC. And I think they do it. Hard to go against Mahomes, but their defense.......oh boy.

Points: Bills     Victory: Bills

Colts @ Ravens (-6.5): The AFC South seems to be this year's NFC East. A crap division with 4 crappy teams. And I think that trend continues here. I think the Ravens will win this game by a TD at least.

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 4

 Another solid week for me in Week 3. I went 8-6 against the spread and 9-7 in the victory department. I hit on one of my upset picks and should have been both if not my friend on Twitter (he knows who he is) convinced me against picking one of my upsets (more on that later): Thusly after 3 weeks:

Points: 22-20

Victory: 28-20

Once again the odds are provided by Draftkings Sportsbook, and if you are ready....We shall begin:\

Jaguars @ Bengals (-7.5): The hook is tricky here. I like the Bengals to win but Jacksonville put up a solid fight against Arizona the previous week. And there is usually sloppy ball on short weeks. But the way the Jaguars fell apart so quickly in that game bothers me. Hesitantly, I will take the Bengals with the points

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Chiefs (-7) @ Eagles: Not saying its time to panic for KC but their defense has been really blah and they have had their problems covering spreads in games. Philly got slaughtered in Dallas. In the end, is Philly's offense good enough to exploit the Chiefs defensive weaknesses? I say no. Again hesitantly

Points: Chiefs   Victory: Chiefs

Titans (-7) @ Jets: Without AJ Brown and potentially Julio Jones, Titans will have to go ground and pound against the Jets. This spread line is perfect given the ineptness of the Jets offense. They have to prove to me they can score. Until then, I can't take them at this number

Points: Titans   Victory: Titans

Texans @ Bills (-17): I'm sorry. I know the Bills have gone on a rampage and the Texans are starting Davis Mills. I can't give 17 points away. If they win by more than that, congratulations. I just can't do it.

Points: Texans   Victory: Bills

Giants @ Saints (-7.5) This has the makings of a disaster for the Giants. The Superdome will be rocking in the first game there this year. I am done believing in the Giants. They had their chance last week. If this isn't a double digit victory, I will be stunned.

Points: Saints   Victory: Saints

Panthers @ Cowboys (-4): The Panthers have not really been involved in a shootout game thanks to their great defense. Here might be the first one. The Cowboys are rolling offensively and Carolina's desperate for CBs. (they just traded for one). Not soon enough to bother Dallas. Plus no CMC for the Panthers. Think Dallas wins by a TD.

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys

Lions @ Bears (-3):  UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It is supposed to be raining at Soldier Field on gameday so the ground game will be crucial. I expect Lions RBs D'Andre Swift and Ty Johnson to have big days. But most of all, I just don't trust the Bears offense or Matt Nagy at all. Give me the Lions to get their first win of the year.

Points: Lions      Victory: Lions

Browns (-2) @ Vikings: PICK'EM!  This to me feels like a "Vegas knows something" line. I know the Vikings beat Seattle last week, but I still don't trust them. And going against a Browns team that seems to be rolling along.... Yeah I don't get why this line is close. Give me the Browns

Victory: Browns

Colts @ Dolphins (-2): PICK'EM #2!  The key to this game is if the Colts can execute better in the red zone than they did against Tennessee. I think they do. And after the brain bending mistakes Miami pulled against the Raiders (the safety in particular) I trust Frank Reich over Brian Flores. Give me the Colts

Victory: Colts

WFT (-1) @ Falcons: PICK'EM #3!  I just don't trust Washington's defense right now. They have probably been the most disappointing unit in the NFL. And I think Matt Ryan will grit themselves to a second straight victory at home. 

Victory: Falcons

Cardinals @ Rams (-4.5): I think there is a chance the Rams might have a bit of a letdown in this game after destroying Tampa Bay. The Cardinals struggled a bit against Jacksonville but pulled away late. But throw in a divisional rivalry and that letdown. I think they keep it close.

Points: Cardinals    Victory: Rams

Seahawks @ 49ers (-3): Like with the Giants, I am approaching the end with Seattle. Their defense is just bad. They are so bad that their offense has the LOWEST time of possession in the NFL. Now that's also because they score quickly. But their defense sucks. I will take the Niners. They should be pissed and they will run it.

Points: Niners     Victory: Niners

Steelers @ Packers (-6.5): I hate my friend for psyching me out of picking the Bengals last week. I wanted to pick them so bad and he talked me out of it. Damn him. I will not make the same mistake this week. With no pass rush against him, Rodgers will make mincemeat of the Steelers defense

Points: Packers    Victory: Packers

Ravens @ Broncos (-1): PICK'EM #4! This is the big test that people have been waiting for with Denver. Can they beat a competent NFL team? What people might not have realized is that they got banged a lot in the Jets win so I don't think they are going to be at full strength so I will take Baltimore to pop their bubble.

Victory: Ravens

Buccaneers (-6.5) @ Patriots: The Return. The Homecoming. Whatever you call it, I think it spells doom for New England. Not because of Tom Brady. Not because of what Tampa Bay is coming in off of, but because of the Buccaneers defensive line against a NE offensive line that has been been very poor in the early going. No James White for the rest of the season for them either so a weapon taken away. I think the Bucs dominate. 

Points: Bucs     Victory: Bucs

Raiders @ Chargers (-3.5): Very interesting game. I think the Chargers win, but there is doubt in my mind. Not enough to pick the Raiders outright, but enough to hedge my bet.

Points: Raiders   Victory: Chargers

Greg's NFL Picks: WEEK 3

 I bounced back in a big way last week, although I got killed in the late games. 8-6 against the spread and 10-6 the game itself(caught my Lions typo, hehe). That brings my 2 week total to:

14-14 against the spread

19-13 picking straight

Once again, the odds are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook and without further ado....

CHARGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Panthers (-8.5) @ Texans: Sam Darnold, while not flashy, has been effective in the first two games. But the real key is the fact that Davis Mills is now starting QB for the Texans. That spells trouble. Give the points away even on the road.

Points: Panthers   Victory: Panthers

Cardinals (-7.5) @ Jaguars: That was a huge win for Arizona last week as it showed that it could handle prosperity. Now they get a Jacksonville team that is completely over its head. However the hook is scaring me a bit. Hesitantly, I will give the points away

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals

Ravens (-7.5) @ Lions: The Ravens have to be careful here. Coming a MASSIVE Sunday night win against the Chiefs, the trap may be waiting for them in Detroit. And their defense has been a disappointment this year. I'm taking the points in this case, but the Ravens will win

Points: Lions   Victory: Ravens

WFT @ Bills (-7.5): The Bills reasserted their dominance last week and now I think they're going to do the same to Washington, who were lucky to squeak by the Giants last week. Bills by a lot

Points: Bills   Victory: Bills

Chargers @ Chiefs (-6.5): The worst thing that could have happened to the Chargers was the Chiefs losing that game last week. They are angry and out for blood. Chargers, as usual, gave away a game that they should have won "at home". Not this week. They won't have a chance

Points: Chiefs   Victory: Chiefs

Titans (-5) @ Colts: The Colts currently are in QB limbo as they fell victim to the walking injury, Carson Wentz. And that is a big factor in this game, because the Tennessee defense has been blaaaaaaaaaaah. As of Thursday, I am not expecting Wentz to play and thusly I think Tennessee wins by a TD.

Points: Titans    Victory: Titans

Bears @ Browns (-7): Sneaky good game possibility. What will Justin Fields bring to the party in his first start? If it's anything like last week, they are in trouble. This one is very close to me. But I will give the Browns the benefit of the doubt and hope that they can exploit the rookie QB.

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns

Falcons @ Giants (-3): This is it for the Giants. The fork in the road. They HAVE to win this game. Otherwise I feel the season will spiral out of control given their schedule. And I think that Joe Judge and crew will get the job done. 

Points: Giants   Victory: Giants

Saints @ Patriots (-3): This might be the game where Mac Jones will have to make a few plays himself instead of managing the game only. Will he be capable? I think he could be. And after picking off Zach Wilson 4 times last week, what will they do against the Human Pick Machine, Jameis Winston?

Points: Pats   Victory: Pats

Bengals @ Steelers (-3): I am ACHING over this one. The Steelers are really banged up, but the Bengals let me down last week. And the Bengals are 8-24 against Big Ben. I think the Steelers losing to the Raiders last week might get them up for this game so I think I will split the difference

Points: Bengals   Victory: Steelers

Jets @ Broncos (-10): I absolutely HATE this line. Broncos might walking into a bit of a trap after starting 2-0; the Jets defense has been very solid so far, and it would be very hard pressed for Zach Wilson to have a worse game than he did last week. Gimme those points.

Points: Jets   Victory: Broncos

Dolphins @ Raiders (-4.5): This is what the Jets Broncos line should have been along with this game. Raiders are another team that might be walking into a bit of a trap. Jacoby Brissett has shown to be a capable QB in the NFL and the Dolphins will be looking for payback after getting blown out by Buffalo last week. I will take the Raiders with the points, albeit reluctantly.

Points: Raiders    Victory: Raiders

Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Rams: PICK'EM!!!!!! I know the Rams are at home and I know Stafford has been solid. I can't pick against Brady and the Bucs at this point. They are rolling to begin.

Victory: Bucs

Seahawks (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM #2 !!!!!!!  Just like with the Giants, this is do or die time for Minnesota after two heartbreaking losses. Unfortunately, like the Chargers, they get an opponent who should very pissed. Seattle gave the Titans a win last week and they want to make up for it. 

Victory: Seahawks

Packers @ 49ers (-3):  UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKK!!!

Let's be honest. The Niners have been unimpressive so far this year. They almost gave up a huge lead to Detroit in Week 1 and then allowed an inferior Eagles team to hang around in Week 2. Packers are still trying to make up for the disaster in Week 1. I think the Packers go in and get a hard fought victory.

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Eagles @ Cowboys (-3): ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKK!!!!!!

This is one that I did not think about when starting to type this out, but I began to think. Dallas is without Collins at RT and Gallup at WR. Cooper has bruised ribs as well. They are a few flags away from being 0-2. As for Philly, if they want to be taken seriously, they need to win this game. I think they will. I am sticking my neck out for this one.

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 2

Last week was a blah week for me; I went 6-8 in the points category and 9-7 in the victory column. I did nail some close games including my UPSET PICK OF THE WEEK, so I feel okay. So now we enter Week 2. Once again, the odds are provided by Draft Kings Sportsbook (where's my money). Pick'em is 2.5 points or lower and a push is a win for me.

LET'S GO

Giants @ WFT (-3.5): This line moved in recent hours from 3 up so I'm a little worried about this game. Giants are in a bit of disarray as they move around their OL but Washington is forced to go to their backup QB. In the end, I'm going to take the plunge. UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Daniel Jones is 4-0 against Washington and 2-17 against everybody else. That ownership will continue. Barely.

Points: Giants  Victory: Giants

49ers (-2.5) @ Eagles: PICK'EM!!! While the Eagles were impressive against the Falcons, the Niners were equally impressive against the Lions. And that near collapse will not have them resting on their laurels very long. Niners win

Victory: Niners

Rams (-3.5) @ Colts: Another NFC West team travels into Indy and I think the same thing happens though to a slightly lesser degree. Nevertheless, the point spread is just thin enough for me to give'em away

Points: Rams  Victory: Rams

Texans @ Browns (-12.5): This is clearly an overreaction line. Browns should win this game but the Texans were very game against Jacksonville and I expect them to be the same way. Too big a line

Points: Texans  Victory: Browns

Saints (-3.5) @ Panthers: The Panthers were NOT impressive in their victory over the Jets, and I think the Saints have come out with a point to prove. I think the Saints win by 6or 7 so give the points away

Points: Saints  Victory: Saints

Bills (-3) @ Dolphins: Most people would have thought the record would have been the other way. Miami was frankly lucky to win that New England game last week, and Buffalo should play with a major chip on their shoulder. Give the points and take the Bills

Points: Bills  Victory: Bills

Patriots (-5.5) @ Jets: The Pats should have won last week and they know it. Now they will take out their anger on a young injured Jets team. If Zach Wilson stays alive, it's a win for them.

Points: Pats    Victory: Pats

Broncos (-6) @ Jaguars: The Broncos as a team, were one of the more impressive stories in Week 1 and as for Urban Meyer, the honeymoon is already coming to an end. The spread is high but I'm going to take the chance that Denver does it again

Points: Broncos    Victory: Broncos

Raiders @ Steelers (-6.5): The Steelers have been a bit of an enigma the last few years so I would not be surprised at a letdown this week a bit. They win, but the game is closer than people think

Points: Raiders   Victory: Steelers

Bengals @ Bears (-2.5): PICK'EM #2:  If this game had a 3 points spread, this might have been my upset pick of the week. I think the Bengals ride high into Chicago and beat up the Bears. They showed they could withstand a nice DL in Minnesota and now they will do it again.

Victory: Bengals

Falcons @ Buccaneers (-12.5): This 12.5 point spread is more justifiable than the previous one. The problems is that I already took the Bucs with a high spread once and it failed. I'm not going to do it again, even if it may be closer to that line

Points: Falcons    Victory: Buccaneers

Vikings @ Cardinals (-3.5): This is another game where the hook scares me a little bit. I believe the Cardinals are the better team but they also have consistency problems. Cardinals win but closer than you think

Points: Vikings  Victory: Cardinals

Cowboys @ Chargers (-3.5): The sneaky game of the day. Cowboys looked impressive against Tampa in defeat, and the Chargers eased over Washington. I will stick with the Chargers here by a TD, so give the points away

Points: Chargers  Victory: Chargers

Titans @ Seahawks (-6): I think the Seahawks are on a mission this year to maybe disprove some doubters and they will look to steamroll Tennessee in their opener. I have the feeling of another blowout loss for the Titans and growing concern there.

Points: Seahawks  Victory: Seahawks

Chiefs (-3.5) @ Ravens: The Ravens better get their new running backs more room because having Lamar consistently carry the football is going to lead to pain. The Chiefs will exploit that problem and win the game well in hand

Points: Chiefs   Victory: Chiefs

Lions @ Packers (-11.5): This one is tough because the line is somewhat fair but the Packers will be out for blood after being embarrassed against the Saints. I'm going to bite the bullet and say, like the Pats, the Packers will show no mercy against Lions and blow them out. 

Points: Packers  Victory: Lions