Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 14

 I told people that last week's point spreads were absolute garbage. And I was proven correct. A miserable 3-8 against the spread while going 12-3 in the victory column. That means I got most of the games right while missing a lot of the spreads. It's hard when a lot of the games are either very close or have wide spreads. I like my spreads a lot in the middle. Anyway my season totals now come to:

Points: 81-96

Victories: 139-81

So let's give it another go, shall we?

49ers (-3) @ Titans: Niners now seem to be fully back and rolling while Tennessee is still trying to figure things out. They get AJ Brown back but I don't know. Tannehill has been shaky. Give me the Niners with a road win.

Points: Niners   Victory: Niners

Browns @ Packers (-7.5): The Browns are basically dead men walking at this point. The hook is scary but without Myles Garrett providing pressure, the Packers might be in full command. I will take the Packers

Points: Packers    Victory: Packers

Colts @ Cardinals (-1): PICK'EM! I can't think the Cardinals, after being humiliated by the Lions last week, will be caught on the off foot again. And I think Vegas thinks the same way. They will bring it in this game. I will take the Cardinals in a close one.

Victory: Cardinals

Chargers (-10) @ Texans: Davis Mills has very quietly been okay for the Texans, at least comparable to the meh performances of the other rookie QBs. The number is interesting because the Chargers might be looking ahead a bit. But after a bad loss to KC, I will take the Chargers hesitantly.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers

Rams (-3) @ Vikings: Rams appear to be getting healthy at the right time. They're even getting Cam Akers back after an Achilles tear. However the Vikings have played so many close games this year, that I could see them losing on a last second FG, which would kill me. This is why I am going to split this one, even with the low spread.

Points: Vikings    Victory: Rams

Buccaneers (-10) @ Panthers: This is a tough number because Brady and company are walking very wounded with no Chris Godwin or Leonard Fournette. I know the Panthers are sucky offensively, but their defense is not horribly and without those weapons.... I think the Panthers keep this under the spread.

Points: Panthers   Victory: Buccaneers

Bills @ Patriots (-2.5): PICK'EM #2 I wonder how rare it is that Bill Belichick has lost back to back games in December. My guess is not very often. That's usually when his teams start to roll. This is it for the Bills. They need this game and then they can kind of coast to the division. I think the home field plays in this game and the Pats win a close one. 

Victory: Pats

Giants @ Eagles (-10): I know the Giants are getting healthy, but I trusted them last week and got nothing. And Philly wants revenge for blowing that easy game against them a couple of weeks ago. Give me the Eagles to cover.

Points: Eagles   Victory: Eagles

Ravens @ Bengals (-3): Don "Wink" Martindale (as a game show fan, love this nickname) says they aren't doubling JaMarr Chase. Why would you say that prior to a game and make it open knowledge? Just fot that, I hope the Bengals crush them.

Points: Bengals   Victory: Bengals

Lions @ Falcons (-6): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKKK!!!!!!!!!!

The Lions are on a roll, that's to be sure, but I'm wondering about Atlanta. They are 6-8 and just got knocked around by the Niners. They know they are now longshots to make the playoffs. I don't know how they react to that. I know how the Lions will play but not Atlanta, So the upset pick it is.

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions

Jaguars @ Jets: PICK'EM #3. The Jets were originally a favorite in this game but COVID struck so the line has moved all the way down to a straight pick'em. Wouldn't be shocked if this game ends up being moved if more players. Either way, the Jets run defense is the worst I've ever seen. If James Robinson gets enough carries, the Jags will win.

Victory: Jags

Bears @ Seahawks (-6.5):  The hook here makes the line very enticing. Two struggling offenses, but Seattle is more experienced and a raucous home crowd could spook Justin Fields. I will go with Seattle to just cover

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Seahawks

Broncos (-1) @ Raiders: PICK'EM #4: This is a "Vegas has a feeling line" Broncos without Teddy Bridgewater on the road in Vegas; a 1 point favorite? It's a pick'em, so I'm free to roam. I think the Raiders win this easily as they continue to stay alive in the AFC playoff race.

Victory: Raiders

Steelers @ Chiefs (-8.5): I know the Chiefs haven't been great with the number, but I think they are rolling now and will destroy the Steelers.

Points: Chiefs   Victory: Chiefs

WFT @ Cowboys (-10.5): This scares me a bit because Dallas seems to be struggling offensively. But Washington is so banged up and Gilbert couldn't move the ball for the most part against Philly; they needed some luck to get up. I'm torn so I will split and play for 10 

Points: WFT     Victory: Cowboys

Dolphins (-1.5) @ Saints: PICK'EM #5! This to me is easy. This will be a low scoring affair between two good defenses. But in the end, I will trust Tua over Ian Book. 

Victory: Dolphins

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 14

 So there's two big things to mention this week. One is that I rolled right through the week last week, going 7-4 against the spread and a damn good 10-3 in victories. The bad news is that COVID has begun to ravage the NFL so that might be a problem with the odds, especially on a Thursday when I pick these games. I will do my best given the knowledge I have at the present moment. I will also keep my explanations brief, because quite honestly, I find it hard to get enthused for certain games. 

Anyway, my seasonal record:

Points: 77-88

Victories: 126-78

And now with the help of the Draftkings Sportsbook, let's rock

Chiefs (-3) @ Chargers: Big game for the Chargers to see if they truly belong amongst the AFC elite. Chargers however are without their best RB which will hurt them in terms of possessing the football. I think the Chiefs squeak by, but to hedge my bet...

Points: Chargers     Victory: Chiefs

Raiders (-1.5) @ Browns: PICK'EM! There are a lot of bad spreads this week, and it's all fluid because of COVID. The Browns are COVID hell missing a lot of people (including Baker Mayfield not from COVID). I think the Raiders get desperate and win this game

Victory: Raiders

Patriots @ Colts (-2): PICK'EM #2! Key test for Mac Jones to see if he can handle an intense road atmosphere. If Carson Wentz continues to play the way he has, they will win because even the Pats limit Taylor, the Colts will have options. Give me the Colts

Victory: Colts

Cardinals (-12.5) @ Lions: Worst thing that could have happened to Lions was the Cardinals losing on Monday night. Now they come out focused and intent on crushing Detroit. Give me the Cards, even with the big spread.

Points: Cardinals    Victory: Cardinals

Cowboys (-11) @ Giants: Thought for a second about divisional pride and the Cowboys being a little banged up. I'm going to take a chance. I think this game is within 10 points. So I will take the points here.

Points: Giants   Victory: Cowboys

Panthers @ Bills (-11): Bills showed gumption against Tampa but came up short. I think they carry that momentum against Carolina who are just blah. Give those points away.

Points: Bills     Victory: Bills

WFT @ Eagles (-9.5): Washington has been destroyed by COVID and other injuries which has led to this big of a spread. I think if they were healthier, I would give them a chance, but I think the Eagles just wear them out and win by 10.

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Jets @ Dolphins (-9.5): This is also tempting because Miami might be without Jaylen Waddle and several RBs but their defense has been lights out recently so I don't think the Jets score enough. They also win by 10.

Points: Dolphins   Victory: Dolphins

Titans (-1) @ Steelers: PICK'EM #3! Honestly, I don't know if Tennessee has the running game left to gash the Steelers defense like Minnesota did last Thursday. I think the Steelers are proud enough that they will reach down and get a victory just to keep themselves alive

Victory: Steelers

Texans @ Jaguars (-3.5): Now that the horrible stench of Urban Meyer is gone from Jacksonville, maybe they can get themselves together and win a few games. Texans are tanking, I think they give in and give the Jags something to cheer about.

Points: Jags   Victory: Jaguars

Falcons @ 49ers (-9.5): I still don't believe in the Niners. It's very weird. Kittle being back has transformed their offense. But something is telling me that the Falcons will keep this close. I don't know, this one has me baffled. I'll give the points, but something's nagging at me.

Points: Niners     Victory: Niners

Bengals @ Broncos (-2.5): PSEUDO UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!

This week is so bad spread wise and game wise for that matter that I have to break one of my pet peeves and go for a pick'em upset in my book. Bengals will be desperate and I think they will beat Denver. I just think Burrow will be more dynamic than Bridgewater,

Victory: Bengals

Packers @ Ravens (-5.5): When a QB that is strong running the football injures his legs, that's a bad sign. Lamar might play, but I don't think he will be that effective. Packers ROLL.

Points: Packers     Victory: Packers

Seahawks @ Rams (-5.5):  I considered Seattle for a legit upset pick of the week, but I don't know if they are healthy enough to pull it off. Plus they are on the road. I will be cautious though because there can be legit concern for a Rams letdown. So I will take the points and hedge

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Rams

Saints @ Buccaneers (-11): This is a revenge game for the Bucs and I think they will use it. Saints were not impressive against the Jets, and I think the Bucs will beat their skulls in.

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs

Vikings (-4.5) @ Bears: I know the Vikings can be a bit shaky but they should beat the Bears up.

Points: Vikings    Victory: Vikings

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 13

As we hit unlucky 13, it is for me to say that I got a bit unlucky on some of my picks last week. The one I barely missed was the Bucs Falcons game. Bucs were giving 11 and they won by 13. I started off hot but sputtered during the late games. As such I went 6-7 against the spread and 9-5 in the victory column. That brings my season total to:

Points: 70-84

Victories: 116-75

So once again, using the Draftkings Sportsbook for the odds, let us speculate.

Steelers @ Vikings (-3): The Vikings should be embarrassed at what happened to them last week. They had the Lions 4th and goal and they blew it. The Steelers squeaked past the Ravens, but there is a big problem. They are without their #1 corner Joe Haden, which should leave it open for Thielen. Plus Dalvin Cook is scheduled to return. I know Cousins has sucked in primetime games, but I'm going with Minnesota to sneak by.

Points: Vikings    Victory: Vikings

Cowboys (-4.5) @ WFT: I am aching in myself to make this the upset pick of the week. Cowboys are banged up, especially at running back and Washington is on a roll. But there's something holding me back. I think it's just the feeling that the Cowboys aren't going to lose to this team, right? I am petrified of this game. So petrified that I am going to split the decision.

Points: WFT    Victory: Cowboys

Ravens @ Browns (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKK!!!!!!!!!!!

The mystery box that is the Baltimore Ravens is coming off a horrific loss to the Steelers. So naturally, I think they will bounce back with a good effort against Cleveland. I think Cleveland can slow them down, but Landry is questionable, meaning Baker Mayfield will not have a lot to work with. I think the Ravens bounce back and send Cleveland under .500

Points: Ravens   Victory: Ravens

Raiders @ Chiefs (-9.5): So last week, I got burned for falling into the "Division" trap and the Chiefs absolutely manhandled the Broncos. Should I go back to that well. Vegas, I think, is better than Denver, So I think the game should be closer. The hook is interesting here. I can see the Chiefs winning by 10 so I will take the Chiefs slightly with the points.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Falcons @ Panthers (-2.5): PICK'EM! These two teams are bad. Falcons have squeaked by some games though and have shown gumption, while Carolina seems to be in self-destruct mode. Give me the Falcons.

Victory: Falcons

Jaguars @ Titans (-8.5): I don't care if the Titans are shot to hell, they'll cover. I'm done thinking about Jacksonville. they suck.

Points: Titans    Victory: Titans

Saints (-5.5) @ Jets:  This is going to be an ugly game. Saints will have Kamara back, but he hasn't really had a great year. Ingram will be a big loss because he's the back that they use for screens and the Jets really struggle against screens. There is also a chance of ice. I think the Saints win, but I don't think they cover, especially if Zach Wilson continues to improve. 

Points: Jets    Victory: Saints

Seahawks (-8.5) @ Texans:  This is just like the Jaguars game. I don't trust Houston one bit. I know Seattle is hurting. I don't care. Houston looks like they've given up. Seattle easy.

Points: Seahawks   Victory: Seahawks

Giants @ Chargers (-10): I think it's very possible the Chargers could come in with a risk for a letdown. But then I see the Giants and think "NAAAAH" Even if the Giants defense slows down Herbert, they can't score the football. Might be a bit of a slog at first, but Chargers pull away for a dominant victory.

Points: Chargers    Victory: Chargers

Lions @ Broncos (-10): I think the Broncos will win this game, but I think the Lions, basking in the glow of their first win, will keep it a little closer than 10 points. Which means, of course, the Lions will get blown out again. So it is written and so shall it be done.

Points: Lions    Victory: Broncos

Bills @ Buccaneers (-3.5):  So after the Bills get run over (literally) by New England, they then have to face their other tormentor immediately the next week in Tom Brady. The Bills have basically been on tilt for the last 6 weeks or so. Talent has gotten them by, but not all the time. They are in trouble. And I think Tom Brady smells blood. I will take the Bucs by at least 6 points.

Points: Bucs     Victory: Bucs

49ers (-2) @ Bengals: PICK'EM #2! This is a suspicious line to me. They're both coming off of bad losses. The Bengals are playing at home. They are relatively healthy. The Niners aren't really that flashy. And they're a 2 point favorite? I'll take the Bengals because I think they're the better team. Thank you very much.

Victory: Bengals

Bears @ Packers (-12.5): I don't like Matt Nagy's chances here. Rodgers will take ownership again and win. Bears don't have a ton of their weapons. I will take the Packers to pound the Bears.

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Rams @ Cardinals (-2): PICK'EM #3!  A dominating victory against the Jaguars doesn't quite make me trust in the Rams enough, especially if the Cardinals are now back to full strength and are rolling. The Cardinals probably are the quietest best record team in NFL history. And I think they will continue.

Victory: Cardinals

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks- Week 13

 Well, it took the expectation of turkey to bring out the best in my football predicting mind. A major bounce back for me this week as I go 6-3 against the spread and 9-6 in the victory column. That raises my season total to:

Points: 64-77

Victories: 107-70

Plus, I just missed my upset pick of the week (Screw you Lions) but I got my upset pick adjacent correct (Yay Jets). Not much for more to me to say except I use the Draftkings Sportsbook for these odds. Let's begin

Cowboys (-6) @ Saints: The Saints are really banged up and the Cowboys will missing a lot of their coaches, which some people believe will help the Cowboys instead of hindering them. The Saints defense is good, but I think the Cowboys realize that they need this game and will rise to the occasion. Without Kamara, I don't know how they hold onto the ball. Hesitantly, I'll give the points away.

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys

Buccaneers (-11) @ Falcons: The Falcons are hanging on for dear life in the NFC wild card race and will put out their best effort to stay in it. I don't know what the mindset for the Bucs is. They seem to be very mercurial about their output. I think they win, but I'm not sure that they cover.

Points: Falcons   Victory: Bucs

Colts (-9.5) @ Texans: The Texans are garbage. The Jets spotted them a 14-3 lead and they blew it. Colts are on a roll, even in a losing effort. I expect the Colts to roll

Points: Colts    Victory: Colts

Cardinals (-7.5) @ Bears: The hook is a bit scary, but I don't believe in the Bears for one minute after beating the Lions. The Cardinals are undefeated on the road and I expect them to stay that way, Kyler or not. Again, the hook scares me a touch but I will take the Cardinals

Points: Cardinals     Victory: Cardinals

Vikings (-7) @ Lions: Interesting line here. Vikings have played well and the Lions are low. If they had beaten the Niners, this might be a sneaky upset pick of the week, But I have to believe the Vikings will have their foot on the pedal, even losing Dalvin Cook. I can't trust the Lions to win a game until they actually do it. Gimme the Vikings

Points: Vikings    Victory: Vikings

Eagles (-7) @ Jets: It looks Jalen Hurts will play on his sprained ankle, which might slow him down a bit, but they should still be able to run the football. This is a bit of a show me game for the Jets defense. They stopped Houston pretty nicely, but they have to prove they can put back to back solid performances in a row. Until they do, I can't buy into them

Points: Eagles    Victory: Eagles

Giants @ Dolphins (-4.5): Right now, it's up in the air whether Daniel Jones will play, but will it even matter? The Fins' defense has finally found its 2020 form. And Tua seems to have settled in for Miami to make a playoff push. This line should be a bit higher. 

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Chargers @ Bengals (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!

This game is all about desperation. The Chargers are stuck in the wild wild AFC West tied with Vegas and Denver. Coming off of a divisional loss, they NEED to win this game. The Bengals, on the other hand, are coming off a major blowout of the Steelers. Letdown possibility? You bet. Give me the Chargers to take the game they need.

Points: Chargers     Victory: Chargers

WFT@ Raiders (-2.5): PICK'EM!  I don't know if any of you follow any football related stories but there is a Raiders fan on Reddit who has predicted every Raiders game correctly this year via a coin flip. So far this fan has been perfect. The coin flip this week has the Raiders beating Washington. So I will either bask in the glory of this madness or end it entirely. I will take the Raiders.

Victory: Raiders

Jaguars @ Rams (-12.5): Rams get the Jaguars at exactly the right time. However, do the Rams deserve that big of a line? I'm not exactly sure. I'm going to stick my neck out here a bit and split it. I will take the points. God have mercy on me.

Points: Jaguars   Victory: Rams

49ers (-3.5) @ Seahawks: Two teams going in completely different directions. Niners have begun to find themselves, kind of like Miami. Seattle is going downhill and they don't even have a top draft pick to compensate for it. If the Niners are truly back, they should kick the crap out of Seattle. And that's what I think they will do.

Points: Niners    Victory: Niners

Ravens (-4) @ Steelers:  Just like with the Eagles and Jets, I don't know if Pittsburgh's defense is healthy or good enough to slow down Baltimore to get to Lamar's weakness. I think the Ravens put the death knell in the Steelers' season here.

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens

Broncos @ Chiefs (-9.5): I still don't know if I can trust the Chiefs offensively. So to me, that spread is a bit too high, especially against a divisional opponent. I do think the Chiefs win,but give me Denver with the points.

Points: Broncos    Victory: Chiefs

Patriots @ Bills (-3):  Seems to me that the Bills have basically been sleepwalking until this game. They got out to such a big divisional lead that they seemed to get a little complacent in their executions. This is a game they need to win for their own psyche, not only in the division, but in the conference. I think the Bills get it done. BUT, to be safe, I will split it.

Points: Pats    Victory: Bills

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 12.

 I still continue to struggle with the point spreads this year, although I did slightly better with it this week than last week. 4-6 against the spread and 9-5 in the victory column. I also seem to notice in this week in particular that the point spreads are really close, which means the number of pick'ems will be large. I usually do not like to have my upset pick of the week be a pick'em because it kind of cheats the system of what an upset is. But we will see how it shakes out today. Incidentally, a happy Thanksgiving to all of you reading this. My yearly updated record:

Points: 58-74

Victories: 98-64

Draftkings, blah blah blah. I know what you want. Let's get it on.

Bears (-3) @ Lions: GOBBLE GOBBLE UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!!

You know that meme with the dog drinking a coffee in a room on fire and saying everything's fine? That dog is Matt Nagy right now. Rumors are that this will be his last game with the Bears after "Fire Nagy" chants lit throughout the Chicago area. And what a way for this tenure to end then to be beaten by the hearted Lions in front of a national audience. Goff is back, which is important. Give me the Lions to win their first game

Points: Lions   Victory: Lions

Raiders @ Cowboys (-7.5): This line scares me. The Cowboys looked so inept against KC's defense and they are still without Amari Cooper. Raiders need this game badly to end their slide. I don't think they get it, but I have a feeling they keep it close. The hook scares me in this case.

Points: Raiders   Victory: Cowboys

Bills (-6.5) @ Saints: Outside of two great second halves against Miami and New York, the Bills offense has looked like utter garbage in the last month. I have to think that the Bills are going to make a stand. However, it will be their defense, going against Trevor Siemian, that will be the catalyst. I expect some turnovers and no Kamara for New Orleans will be their doom. 

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Eagles (-3.5) @ Giants: The change at OC for the Giants has been greatly welcomed by their fanbase. However, it might not matter if the offense can't get their hands on the football. Philly's run offense has been on a great roll and the Giants run defense is.......meh. Eagles will dominate the TOP (time of possession) and squeeze the life out of the G-Men.

Points: Eagles   Victory: Eagles

Buccaneers (-3) @ Colts: Very sneaky good matchup. The key here is that Vita Vea, the great DL for Tampa Bay, is coming back for this game which will help to nullify the running game of Taylor for the Colts. And at the end of the day, I trust Tom Brady more than Carson Wentz. Give me the Bucs.

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs

Titans @ Patriots (-7): I think the Pats are the best team in the AFC, the way they are playing right now. Tennessee is banged up beyond belief, but they do play hard. Tannehill has played the Pats okay in his career. I think the Pats win but they don't cover. Give me the points.

Points: Titans   Victory: Pats

Steelers @ Bengals (-5): Must win game for both teams. Steelers are getting healthier, but they're still missing a lot of players. I was tempted to designate another UPOW for this game, but I don't know if the Steelers will have the manpower to do it. Nevertheless, I do think they keep it close.

Points: Steelers   Victory: Bengals

Panthers (-2) @ Dolphins: PICK'EM! Miami was not really impressive against the Jets. I still don't really believe in them. Cam Newton played solidly against Washington last week and with another week under his belt, he should be even better. I will take the Panthers in this game

Victory: Panthers

Jets @ Texans (-2.5): PICK'EM #2! If this was out of the pick'em range, this would have been my upset pick of the week. Not only is Zach Wilson back, but so is Bryce Huff, a pass rusher who's absence coincides with the Jets defense getting carved like a turkey. Texans only gained 190 yards of offense against Tennessee and mainly won because of turnovers. Jets will get a rare road win this week.

Victory: Jets

Falcons (-2) @ Jaguars: PICK'EM #3! I honestly don't know about this game. Nor really do I care. I'll take Atlanta simply because I trust Arthur Smith more than Urban Meyer.

Victory: Falcons

Chargers (-2.5) @ Broncos: PICK'EM #4! Here is another 'Vegas knows something" line. Chargers coming off a big win against Pittsburgh facing a mediocre Denver team off the bye; and they are only 2.5 point favorites. I don't know if the Broncos have the running game to implement a keep away strategy. I will take the Chargers, although I am wary.

Victory: Chargers

Vikings @ 49ers (-3): A narrative setting game: Are the Niners turned around? Are the Vikings finally playing up to their potential? The Vikings however are limited on the defensive line which will not help them stop the running game of the Niners. I think the Niners win. and hesitantly I will give the points away

Points: Niners   Victory: Niners

Rams (-1) @ Packers: PICK'EM #5! I think this is a game where the Rams reassert themselves against a Packers team that is severely limited because of injuries. 

Victory: Rams

Browns @ Ravens (-4): Lamar Jackson will be back for the Ravens this week and the mystery box will turn to the positive this week. The Browns are in disarray, Baker's calling out the fans etc. I will take the Ravens big this week.

Points: Ravens   Victory: Ravens

Seahawks @ WFT (-1.5): PICK'EM #6! You know, the Heineken man has proven to be very solid at QB for Washington. They have won a couple in a row and have settled themselves in. Meanwhile, Seattle is a complete mess. They look to be falling apart and have no first round pick to comfort themselves with (Thanks Jamal Adams). Hard to say that an organization is more out of sorts than the WFT, but the Seahawks are right now and thusly I will take Washington.

Victory: Football Team

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 11

 I think if anybody was in a survivor pool this year, they would all be dead by now. So many upsets and surprises all over the place. It's getting me a bit depressed as I continue to struggle, going 2-8 against the spread and only 7-7 in victories. Interestingly enough, most of my best calls were in the 4 pick'em games last week, including my mini upset with the Eagles beating the Broncos. That brings (down) my season total to:

Points: 54-68

Victories: 89-59

You know the deal with the Draftkings Sportsbook, so let's try again:

Patriots (-6.5) @ Falcons: LOVE THIS SPREAD. I expect New England and Mac "THE MAAAOON" Jones to continue to roll. Atlanta disappointed me last week so they need some penalties. Give me New England all night.

Points: Pats    Victory: Pats

Packers (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM! The Vikings still have to show me they can be consistent in their games. They swing way too wildly. Meanwhile Aaron Rodgers was rusty but soo got back into shape as the Packers shut out the Seahawks. This is a prove it game for Minnesota, and I don't think, especially with the way the Packers defense looked, that they can do it.

Victory: Packers

Texans @ Titans (-10): The Texans have shown me nothing this year. That spread number scares me a little bit because the Titans have lost some of their explosiveness. But, the Texans have befuddled me once too often to trust them again. Give me the Titans

Points: Titans   Victory: Titans

Colts @ Bills (-7): This line is a "Vegas knows something" type of line.  Colts are banged up on defense and shuffling off to Buffalo to face a Bills team that has righted the ship. Colts are going to run the ball to keep Allen off the field. I'm going to split it up I think and trust that Vegas knows something.

Points: Colts    Victory: Bills

49ers (-6.5) @ Jaguars: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKK!!!!!!

The key in this game to me is the run defense. The Niners are in the bottom 10 of the league in terms of rushing defense including attempts, yards and Y/C. James Robinson has had a very strong season for the Jaguars. He's hurting a bit, but he is practicing. Remember also, the Niners are coming east, which could provide trouble. The Jags were game against the Colts, and I think they steal this game

Points: Jaguars    Victory: Jaguars

Ravens (-5) @ Bears: This is another attempt at an upset I could have had. I think the mystery box of the Ravens will turn the other way again. And while Fields has improved, I don't think that he can take advantage of the Ravens defense, which has been medium. I think the Ravens win and turn the other cheek.

Points: Ravens     Victory: Ravens

Lions @ Browns (-11): The bad news for the Lions is that Jared Goff is leaning towards not playing so they have to go to the Immortal Tim Boyle. Can he pull a Mike White? Probably not, but the Browns are reeling right now with injuries and getting their ass kicked by NE. I think the Browns win, but I think that's a little high for points. I will take those points.

Points: Lions     Victory: Browns

WFT @ Panthers (-3): It looks like a revitalized Cam Newton will be a go for the Panthers this weekend, and as for Washington's defense, I need to see more from them to prove that they are back. I think the Panthers win this game by 5 or 6. 

Points: Panthers   Victory: Panthers

Dolphins (-3.5) @ Jets: A few weeks ago, I took the Rams over the Giants basically as a matter of principle. The Jets over the Dolphins seemed to be Upset Pick material, but that was before the Jets decided to do what they always do; overreact and fear fan reaction for their own players, and chose to start Joe Flacco. After propping up Mike White, they look like fools. And now they should be punished. Dolphins: EASILY

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Saints @ Eagles (-2): PICK'EM #2! Very interesting game featuring two evenly matched teams. The way I decide it? The Eagles are 4-6. All four wins have come on the road. That has to mean something. I will take the Saints to outlast the Eagles in a tight one.

Victory: Saints

Bengals (-1) @ Raiders: PICK'EM #3! After a bye week, I expect the Bengals defense to somewhat stabilize after being thrashed the past two games. The Raiders seem to be on their patented second half swoon, this time due to matters beyond their control. I think the Bengals win this comfortably

Victory: Bengals

Cowboys @ Chiefs (-2.5): PICK'EM #4! Time to see if the Chiefs are truly back or not. Can they string together two impressive performances in a row? I think they do, actually. But Dak will also have a good game and rise to the challenge. I expect a high scoring affair with the Chiefs out on top.

Victory: Chiefs

Cardinals (-2) @ Seahawks: PICK'EM #5!  It looks like Kyler Murray will play against Seattle. Will Russell Wilson blow it again? I don't know, but I have a feeling that Seattle might be giving up a bit on their season, despite their okay record. I don't know. I just think their defense won't be consistent enough to stop Murray. Cardinals, close.

Victory: Cardinals

Steelers @ Chargers (-5.5) The Steelers should be ashamed of themselves for tying the Lions (BTW, that did not count as a win in the victory column for last week). And I think the Chargers, having 3 of 4, sense the urgency of the moment. They need this game badly. And I think they will get it, by a TD, to cover the spread.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers

Giants @ Buccaneers (-11):  I can't see the Giants winning this game. How often has Tom Brady lost 3 games in a row? Once in 2002. However, that point spread is ridiculous, especially if the Giants defense has awoken from it's season long nap at last. I will take the points but pick the Bucs to win.

Points: Giants   Victory: Bucs

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 10

 I get the feeling a lot of survivor pools blew up last week. There were a ton of upsets, some that came out of absolutely nowhere. And despite my upset pick of the week getting back on track, I got killed in the points game yet again. A miserable, disgusting 4-7 against the spread. Even in victories, I barely eked out a winning record with an 8-6 round. That brings my overall totals to:

Points: 52-60

Victories: 82-52

So let's see how many more picks I can mess up, with the help of the DraftKings Sportsbook, as we enter Week #10.

Ravens (-8) @ Dolphins:  The Jekyll and Hyde nature of the Ravens plus the usual Thursday night mishaps really scare me with this pick. But the Dolphins are really bad. Very hesitantly, I am going to give the points away, But I'm worried about it.

Points: Ravens   Victory: Ravens

Bills (-11) @ Jets: This line has actually come down in recent days and I understand. The Bills offense has looked like garbage the last two weeks, the Jets are much better at home than the road and Mike White, International Man of Mystery, is back at QB. I have to believe the Bills feel the Pats breathing down their necks and get their act in gear. Close for a half but Bills pull away late.

Points: Bills   Victory: Bills

Buccaneers (-8) @ WFT:  Not much to say here. Will be shocked if the Bucs don't cover. Washington's defense is garbage.

Points: Bucs   Victory: Bucs

Falcons @ Cowboys (-8): If the Cowboys hadn't looked so flat against Denver, I would be keying in on this as my upset pick of the week. That being said, Dallas is now without Randy Gregory a key pass rusher. And Denver did expose the aggressiveness of their secondary. I could see this being a high scoring close game. Give me the points here.

Points: Falcons   Victory: Cowboys

Lions @ Steelers (-8): I have bet the Lions to upset a team twice this year and both times they were blown out. Can I see the Lions keeping this particular game close? Yeah, because I really don't trust the Steelers. But I don't have enough faith in them to win. So watch them win here because of me. You're welcome Detroit.

Points: Lions    Victory: Steelers

Saints @ Titans (-2.5): PICK'EM!  This is a tough one because the Saints defense is very good. But their offense is a problem. I don't think their offense with Trevor is good enough to score enough to beat the Titans at Tennessee. Give me the Titans

Victory: Titans

Jaguars @ Colts (-10): Another interesting one that shows a lot of people don't believe what the Jags did last week is for real. This line bothers me. The Colts defense gave up a ton yards to Josh Johnson last week even in garbage time. They did not impress me. Nevertheless, I will believe in the Colts to put up enough to cover. 

Points: Colts    Victory: Colts

Browns @ Patriots (-2.5): PICK'EM #2! I've been waiting for a game where Mac Jones is going to have to elevate his game and win it for the Pats, instead of being a game manager, which he's been most of the year. This might be the game for that, as the Browns seem to be on track offensively. I think this is the day Mac Jones BECOMES A MAAAAOONN! Give me the Pats

Victory: Pats

Panthers @ Cardinals (-10.5): I doubt that Cam Newton can get up to speed fast enough to start for the Panthers this week. And even if he was, the Cardinals are awesome. Now they are getting the respect they deserve and I think they will roll. Hook scares me a bit, but I will give the points away.

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals

Vikings @ Chargers (-3): The Vikings have found ways to lose all year, so I have no doubt in my mind that they will continue to do so in a brutalizing fashion. I will take the Chargers by a late field goal to beat Minnesota and continue that trend.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers

Eagles @ Broncos (-2.5): PICK'EM #3! If this was a half point farther to the Broncos, this would be my upset pick of the week. I love the Eagles in this game. I think they have found the perfect combo of rushing and passing to make their offense work. And I think last week was more a product of the Cowboys being meh than the Broncos being good. I will take the Eagles on the road.

Victory: Eagles

Seahawks @ Packers (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKK!!!!!!!!!!!!

Russell Wilson is coming back apparently for this game which is huge. Rodgers will also be back, just squeaking in under the wire. But there are a few questions I have about that. The first one is the matter of preparation for the team he will face, which really shouldn't be a problem. But the second one has to do with his condition. We've seen players come back from COVID and they look shaky. I think this happens a bit and Seattle, in desperation mode, gets a big win.

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Seahawks

Chiefs (-2.5) @ Raiders: PICK'EM #4!  This is a big game for both teams. Vegas coming off a bad loss to the G-Men and the Chiefs continue to lope along by the skin of their teeth. At the end of the day, I have to lean towards talent again and question if the Raiders are ready for this. I will take the Chiefs in a close game.

Victory: Chiefs

Rams (-3.5) @ 49ers: Well this game all of the sudden got more buzz as OBJ was suddenly added on as the Rams go for broke this year. I'm sorry, the Niners are bad. This line should be bigger, especially off an upset loss to Tennessee. Give me the Rams EASILY.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 9

 Well my momentum stopped dead in its tracks. I went a disgusting 4-9 against the spread and 7-8 in the victory column. I misread a lot of games, including missing both my upset picks (Screw you Lions), so yeah.... Well, all that remains for me to do is to try again this week. Here's the record

Points: 48-53

Victories: 74-46

So using once again the DraftKings sportsbook for the odds, let's climb up the hill again.

Jets @ Colts (-10): This line bothers me for several reasons. I don't think the Colts are that better than the Jets, plus it's a Thursday night game which tend to be very sluggish and sloppy, and the Colts are coming off an all in heartbreaking loss to the Titans. I think the Colts will win but I can't give that huge amount away under these conditions. Gimme the points.

Points: Jets    Victory: Colts

Bills (-14.5) @ Jaguars: The Bills had a bit of a scare last week but pulled away. I expect ironing out the details this week and the Bills kicking the crap out of the Jaguars

Points: Bills   Victory: Bills

Broncos @ Cowboys (-10): I know Dak Prescott may be out again (leaning towards positive now), but the Broncos are awful. They tried to give me my upset last week and barely got away with it. Give me dem Cowboys.

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys

Vikings @ Ravens (-6): On paper, these teams are very even statistically, but the Vikings are hurting really badly. They lost Danielle Hunter for the year, they had to put their center on the COVID list. I think this will hurt them in this game and the Ravens will win. I think they win a TD so give those points away.

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens

Patriots (-3.5) @ Panthers: Even if it's not a haunting reunion (hehe) for Sam Darnold, I really like the Pats in this game. The Panthers can't score on offense and CMC seems like he's a week away, but even if he plays, I think Belichick will take him away, like he does all the time.

Points: Pats    Victory: Pats

Raiders (-3.5) @ Giants: The Raiders did the right thing this week cutting Henry Ruggs immediately so that will not be a distraction. The Giants are once again, banged up with COVID and broken headsets. Seriously, Joe Judge should be ashamed of himself for that. Raiders will cover easily

Points: Raiders    Victory: Raiders

Falcons @ Saints (-6): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKK!

I have to be honest. I was not going to pick this as my upset, as I had other options. But I didn't like any of the other options due to circumstances. Anyway, the Saints have been Jekyll and Hyde this year, they're coming off a massive win so a letdown could happen, and they will have to start Trevor Semien for a whole game with a team that has time to prepare. This is kind of a long shot, but thanks to some of my Twitter colleagues, I will go for it. 

Points: Falcons   Victory: Falcons

Texans @ Dolphins (-5.5): I know the Texans are hot garbage but so are the Dolphins. They played hard against Buffalo, but they're not that good. To me, this is a perfect line. This is where I would put the line. Tempted to take the points, but the Texans are so bad and they've screwed me so many times.

I can't do it.

Points: Dolphins    Victory: Dolphins

Browns @ Bengals (-2.5): PICK'EM!  The Bengals have to be licking their wounds after being the victims of Mike White and the Jets last week. And the Browns are currently staring at the crossroads in multiple ways. I think the Bengals bounce back in a major way.

Victory: Bengals

Chargers (-2) @ Eagles: PICK'EM #2! This line smacks of recency bias. Eagles kicked the crap out of the Lions and the Chargers lost to the Patriots. I think the Chargers win relatively easily. If they don't, time to sound the alarm bells.

Victory: Chargers

Packers @ Chiefs (-7.5): This game was a pick'em 2 days ago. Rodgers moved the needle that much. Although I am hesitant on the Chiefs because they have been icky this year, I have to think that they cover this. If they can't cover this, they are really screwed. I'll go with them, but they are sticking their neck out.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Cardinals @ Niners (-1): PICK'EM #3: This is an odd line too. After only one loss, the Cardinals are a one point underdog against the Niners? I'm sorry, even if Kyler Murray is out, I think the Cardinals have enough talent to get by, even if it is with Colt McCoy. I like the Cardinals

Victory: Cardinals

Titans @ Rams (-7.5): TBH, I'm surprised this line isn't a little bit bigger. Titans without their lord and master, Derrick Henry. Rams trading for Von Miller and going for broke in the NFC. The Rams will win and win handily I think as we see how much Henry was needed for the Titans.

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams

Bears @ Steelers (-6): Once again, with all honesty, this was going to be my upset pick of the week until I found out that Matt Nagy is going to be back on the sidelines. How depressing must that be for a Bears fan that their coach depresses their chances of winning upon returning? It's as close to Adam Gase as you can get. I think the Steelers win BUT....the Steelers are blah too so I will take those points.

Points: Bears     Victory: Steelers

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week #8

 So I seem to be on a bit of a roll as of late. 6-4 against the points and a great 10-3 in the victory department. Including nailing my 3rd straight upset pic of the week. So that brings my season total to:

Points: 44-44

Victory: 67-38

I might be feeling my oats this week a bit, I'm not sure. BTW I know I put "Week 6" twice, but what can you do? So, using the odds provided by the Draftkings Sportsbook, let's roll.

Packers @ Cardinals (-6.5): Green Bay is banged up in the WR department but Arizona lost JJ Watt for the season, a key component to their defense. Plus, Thursday Night games are usually sloppy and somewhat low scoring. I think the Cardinals win, but that spread is very close. I'll take the Cardinals but hesitantly.

Points: Cardinals    Victory: Cardinals

Bengals (-10.5) @ Jets: This game screams trap/letdown for the Bengals. But the Jets are so banged up defensively that I think they will win rather easily. If this spread went a little higher, I would have taken the Jets. But it's still in range for me to take Cincinnati. 

Points: Bengals   Victory: Bengals

Dolphins @ Bills (-14): The Bills are out for vengeance and the Dolphins are garbage. Send those points way.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Titans @ Colts (-1.5): PICK'EM! Two teams that have seemingly found themselves via their runs games. But to me, I will take Derrick Henry over Johnathan Taylor. I think the Titans are more battle tested than the Colts. Give me the Titans

Victory: Titans

Rams (-14.5) @ Texans: I'm done with Houston and large spreads. They are awful and the Rams will be looking to make a statement after messing with the Lions last week. CRUSH THEM, Rams

Points: Rams    Victory: Rams

Eagles (-3.5) @ Lions: UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKK!!!!

The Lions are going to win a game. And this is the one I think it will be. They're at home. They're playing a mediocre Eagles team; an Eagles team who are near the bottom of the league in rushing yards given up. The Lions have a good RB stable with Swift and Williams. I think this is the week for the Lions to get their first win.

Points: Lions    Victory: Lions

Steelers @ Browns (-3.5): I was considering this for my upset pick of the week, until I discovered that Baker Mayfield appears to be on track to play Sunday. I think his presence will be the difference for the Browns. The hook scares me a bit, but I will take those points

Points: Browns   Victory: Browns

Panthers @ Falcons (-3):  Glad the Falcons were favored because the Panthers are awful without CMC. And their defense has crashed back to Earth. Falcons are also on a rebound. I will take those points and those birds

Points: Falcons   Victory: Falcons

49ers (-4) @ Bears: Hate this game. Neither team has shown capabilities of scoring at will. Actually thought this line would be closer. In fact, this seems like a "Vegas knows something" line. I'm very suspicious. I think I will split the difference on this one because I'm getting mixed signals

Points: Bears     Victory: Niners

Patriots @ Chargers (-4.5): Pats should hang in there as they have done with other more talented teams but at the end of the day, I think the talent of the Chargers will win out in the end. If it was a bit higher, I might split but I will take the Chargers.

Points: Chargers   Victory: Chargers

Jaguars @ Seahawks (-3.5): Man how far have the Seahawks have fallen. Only 3.5 point favorites against the Jaguars AT HOME. And you know what? That is not unjustified. I think Seattle wins by more than 4 points though, but any more and it could have been a split.

Points: Seahawks  Victory: Seahawks

Buccaneers (-4.5) @ Saints: The Saints and the Ravens are kindred spirits. You don't know what you are getting from then every week. The Bucs are more reliable so I'm going with them

Points: Bucs    Victory: Bucs

WFT @ Broncos (-3): Has to be the most boring game this week. And also I have no real call on it and seemingly Vegas agrees with me. I think I'm going to stick my neck out. And pick :

ANOTHER UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Broncos are awful and the Heineken man has not been awful, even ins losses (save 1). I will take Washington on the road.

Points: Football Team    Victory: Football Team

Cowboys (-1.5) @ Vikings: PICK'EM #2! Cowboys are expected to get Michael Gallup back which will add another weapon. The Vikings are kind of like the Patriots to me. They play hard but they don't really go anywhere. I will take Dallas to win.

Victory: Cowboys

Giants (-9.5) @ Chiefs: This is a must win for KC. They have been humiliated the past couple of weeks. The Giants are tough because their injury situation is a bit nebulous. But I think they can hang in that spread given the crappiness of the Chiefs defense. KC wins but they don't cover.

Points: Giants   Victory: Chiefs

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: Week 6

 It always pays to play safe at times. A couple of my point splits paid off big time and as a result, I went 

7-5 against the spread and 9-5 overall, including my upset pick of the week, once again. So that brings my results to:

Points: 38-40

Victory: 57-35

This week however, seems to be challenging, so it's going to be tough to find an upset or a split. So, with the odds provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook, let's see what I can do.

Broncos @ Browns (-1.5): PICK'EM! Thank goodness this is a pick'em because I have no clue in this game. Cleveland is banged up but the Broncos have kind of stalled after their great (fraudulent) start. In this game, I think Case Keenum will do just enough to get the Browns to a victory. I just don't think the Broncos are skilled enough.

Victory: Browns

WFT @ Packers (-7.5): The hook bothers me in this case, but I think I have to go Green Bay. Washington is hurting a bit and their defense is still a disappointment. Slightly hesitantly, I will take the Packers

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Jets @ Patriots (-6.5): In this case, the hook is absolutely delightful because a touchdown is the perfect line IMO. I don't expect Zach Wilson to throw 4 picks again, but I think he will struggle again and the Jets lose by 7, so give me the Pats

Points: Pats    Victory: Pats

Bengals @ Ravens (-6.5): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKKKKK!!!!!!!!!

Does anybody have any clue what the Ravens are? They have been a total mystery all year. And for that reason, I can absolutely see a bit of a letdown after pounding the Chargers. Bengals got by the Lions trap with ease and now are focused in on this game. Because of the unpredictability of the Ravens, I'm going with the Bengals

Points: Bengals    Victory: Bengals

Chiefs (-5) @ Titans: If this game was in a week or so, I would take Tennessee. But coming off a short week with an emotional win over Buffalo, I don't know if the Titans can muster up that energy again, especially Derrick Henry. I will take the Chiefs to eventually wear down the Titans

Points: Chiefs     Victory: Chiefs

Panthers (-2.5) @ Giants: PICK'EM #2! This is going to be an ugly game. Giants are a M*A*S*H unit and the Panthers are still without their key player. In the end, the loss of Andrew Thomas is fatal, I believe. Panthers defense will score in this game and they will win

Victory: Panthers

Falcons (-2.5) @ Dolphins: PICK'EM #3! I nailed the Dolphins exactly last week. They are a mess. And now, with Deshaun Watson rumors cranking up, how will Tua, who had a good game last week, respond. And how will their fans respond? Give me Atlanta.

Victory: Falcons

Lions @ Rams (-15.5): The thing that should scare you is if Sean McVay takes his foot off the gas like he did against the Giants last week,. Now the spread was 10 last week. However, the Rams did not play well last week, IMO. They could have hung 60 on the Giants if they played well. So I think they will cover because of the Rams familiarity with Goff and the fact that they should impetus to play a better game than last week.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams

Eagles @ Raiders (-3): I thought about this for a second, but the Eagles defense has been susceptible to high powered offenses and Derek Carr is having one of the best years of his career. I think the Raiders win comfortably.

Points: Raiders    Victory: Raiders

Texans @ Cardinals (-17.5): Once again, the Texans leave me with a bad option. In this case however, the Cardinals have a big game against Green Bay next week and there may be a bit of looking ahead. Fool me once, shame on you....

Points: Texans    Victory: Cardinals

Bears @ Buccaneers (-12): I'm taking a flyer on this game. Bears defense has been very solid and they are going to run the ball a lot just to play keep away. I think the Bears keep it under the spread, but Tampa wins

Points: Bears    Victory: Bucs

Colts @ 49ers (-4.5): You know the crappiness of this week is cemented when THIS game is the best NBC could come up with for the primetime slot. I could care less about this game. I think the Colts keep it close but the Niners win.

Points: Colts   Victory: Niners

Saints (-4.5) @ Seahawks: This game scares me to death. New Orleans is like Baltimore. You don't know what you are getting from them. And Seattle played solidly against Pittsburgh. I think the Saints will win, but I'm feeling a bit cautious so...

Points: Seahawks    Victory: Saints

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 6

 Slightly bounced back from last week's debacle. I went 5-7 in the points and 12-4 in the victories department, nailing the upset pick of the week. That brings me to:

Points: 31-35

Victories: 48-30

Want to get to it so without further ado, let's do it. (with the Draftkings Sportsbook odds hehe)

Buccaneers (-6.5) @ Eagles: I have been burned on Thursday night games so far this season, and the Bucs have a tendency so far to be a bit wobbly against the spread. The Eagles showed some toughness against the Panthers so I think they will show up. If it were 7.5 I would take the Eagles easily. I'll take the Bucs but the Thursday night factor scares me

Points: Bucs  Victory: Bucs

Dolphins (-3) @ Jaguars: YE OLDE UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEK!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wanted to use that last week and glad I didn't. Miami might be the most disappointing team in the AFC. Their defense is trash. and their offense has been non existent. Even if Tua comes back, I still don't like them. And the Jaguars are now no longer the team with the controversial coach (or ex/coach). I think the Jaguars, in their future home, get on the board.

Points: Jaguars   Victory: Jaguars

Chiefs (-6.5) @ WFT: After getting depantsed on national primetime TV, the Chiefs will be out for blood. Their defense still sucks, but I don't think Washington can take advantage. Gimme the Chiefs.

Points: Chiefs    Victory: Chiefs

Rams (-10) @ Giants: How bad is your opponent that you are a 10 point favorite ON THE ROAD? Anyway, as of this moment, it looks like Jones will play but others won't. I don't think he should. "Let's have a guy coming off a concussion go against Aaron Donald" Such a smart idea. I hope the Rams kick the crap out of them if he does. Serves them right.

Points: Rams   Victory: Rams

Packers (-5.5) @ Bears: Matt Nagy gives away the play calling duties and the offense looks better. Surprise Surprise. Anyway, this is an interesting spread. I think if it was bit higher, I could chance the Bears but I'm going to play it safe and take the Pack

Points: Packers  Victory: Packers

Texans @ Colts (-10): This is way too high for me. The Colts played one of their best games against Baltimore and blew it in OT. They are better than the Texans, but a Texans team that hung with New England? No thank you.

Points: Texans   Victory: Colts

Chargers @ Ravens (-2.5): PICK'EM! I'm starting to get high on the Chargers. Love me some Brandon Staley. And I will ride them 'til the cows come home.

Victory: Chargers

Bengals (-3.5) @ Lions: LOVE THIS LINE because I can jump on the Lions pain bandwagon. How many different ways can the Lions lose a game this year? I can totally see the Lions making this a game and losing at the last minute. AGAIN.

Points: Lions   Victory: Bengals

Vikings (-2) @ Panthers: PICK'EM #2!  This game might come down to whether Christian McCaffrey can play. Because without McCaffrey, Sam Darnold has reverted back to his Jets days. As of now, he is 50-50 to play. Losing two straight might push Matt Rhule's hands into making him play. I will say he plays and the Panthers win

Victory: Panthers

Cardinals @ Browns (-3.5):  This could have been my upset pick of the week, but I've been thinking...

Cleveland comes off a heartbreaking loss to the Chargers and the Cardinals come in as the only undefeated team left in the NFL. Cardinals have sleepwalked a couple of times and I think this time if they do, they will get bit. Browns need this game and I think they will get it. BUT....to be safe and I think it will be a close game....

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Browns

Cowboys (-3) @ Patriots: I just think the Cowboys are a better team that wear you down defensively. I think New England will show up and Mac Jones will be okay, I just think the Cowboys offense will be too much. 

Points: Cowboys   Victory: Cowboys

Raiders @ Broncos (-3.5): The question here is whether Denver can offensively take advantage of a Raiders team in disarray? My head says the Broncos will win. but my gut can see the Raiders circling the wagons and playing "the world is out to get us" card. So I will play it cautious again. Sorry.

Points: Raiders   Victory: Broncos

Seahawks @ Steelers (-5.5): Seahawks are toast. No other way to put it. THEY ARE TOAST. Now, 5.5 is a solid number, and the Steelers aren't great, but the Hawks are toast.

Points: Steelers    Victory: Steelers

Bills (-5.5) @ Titans: Is there a letdown chance? Yeah. But I don't think the Titans have enough to take advantage of the letdown. The Buffalo March of Doom continues. The Bills are the best team in the NFL and will continue to show it.

Points: Bills    Victory: Bills

Greg's 2021 NFL Picks: WEEK 5

 Last week was good and horrible. I went a very strong 10-6 in the victory department. But against the spread, a very stinky 4-8. I underestimated a lot of teams and missed on a few upsets. So through 4 weeks:

Points: 26-28

Victories: 38-26

Point spreads were set on the Thursday by the Draftkings Sportsbook. And AWAY WE GOOOO!

Rams (-2) @ Seahawks: PICK'EM! Can anybody figure out these two teams? Rams were on a roll but got stung by the Cardinals. I vowed not to pick the Seahawks anymore and then they got by the Niners. This to me is a coin flip, I'll take Seattle because they're at home. But I don't know.

Victory: Seahawks

Jets @ Falcons (-3): I am VERRRRRRY tempted. Especially with the news that Calvin Ridley will not even make the trip to London. But something is holding me back. I don't know how the Jets youth will handle prosperity and their linebacking corps is decimated with injuries which doesn't match well with newfound Falcons weapon Cordarrelle Patterson. Nevertheless, I will hedge my bet here.

Points: Jets    Victory: Falcons

Dolphins @ Buccaneers (-10): Miami is reeling a bit here. They just lost Will Fuller for the year to an injury and their defense has regressed. I think Tampa makes a statement here with a dominating win. But 10 is a big number, especially with no Gronk. If it were 8 points, I would take the Bucs easily. But at 10, I will light a candle and pray to the football gods.

Points: Bucs   Victory: Bucs

Packers (-3) @ Bengals: The Bengals are 20th in the NFL in points per game which is a bit surprising. Joe Mixon has not been the running threat that he should be. I think the Packers win this by 6 or so I will take the Pack

Points: Packers   Victory: Packers

Eagles @ Panthers (-3): I was tempted to pick the Eagles in this one, but the latest rumblings is that Christian McCaffrey might be a go which would spell doom for the Eagles. so give me the Panthers

Points: Panthers    Victory: Panthers

Patriots (-8.5) @ Texans: Bill Belichick against a rookie QB. Need I say more?

Points: Patriots    Victory: Patriots

Titans (-4) @ Jaguars: Titans have to be steaming mad they blew the game to the Jets last week. And Jacksonville is caught up in UrbanGate. If the Titans don't win this game, there is something seriously wrong with them. I will take the Titans, hesitantly.

Points: Titans     Victory: Titans

Lions @ Vikings (-10): I know the Lions didn't upset the Bears last week, but do I believe in the Minnesota enough to outscore the Lions by 10. The better question may be should I expect the Lions to score enough. I'm going to take the Vikings but I don't like it.

Points: Vikings   Victory: Vikings

Saints (-2.5) @ WFT: PICK'EM #2! This line screams "Vegas knows something" Washington's defense has been the most disappointing unit in the NFL this year. I know the Saints are conservative but surely, they can beat Washington. I would also maybe account for a letdown after the comeback win last week.

Victory: Saints

Broncos @ Steelers (-1): PICK'EM #3! Steelers are in a very difficult spot. They are not nearly the team they used to be and are staring 1-4 in the face. This game will be ugly and at the end of the day, I think I trust Teddy over Ben. I will take the Broncos

Victory: Broncos

Browns @ Chargers (-2): PICK'EM #4! I keep waiting for the other shoe to drop with the Chargers. But they seem so settled. Anthony Lynn was a DISASTER coaching them last year and Brandon Staley seems to have more control and be more decisive. I think they continue to roll.

Victory: Chargers

Bears @ Raiders (-5.5): This spread is interesting. I think if the Raiders had beaten the Chargers, this would have been another trap game. But I will bet that Gruden will have them ready. I will take the Raiders barely over the spread

Points: Raiders   Victory: Raiders

Giants @ Cowboys (-6.5): I think this will be a classic NFC East competitive game. The Giants usually keep it close down there. But I think Dallas (Dak especially) has been on a mission all year to prove doubters wrong. I think Dallas ends up winning but I will take the points

Points: Giants     Victory: Cowboys

49ers @ Cardinals (-4.5): This is another line that screams "Vegas knows something" If Garappolo doesn't play, and he did not practice today so it's trending that way, I don't see how the Niners win unless the Cardinals have a major letdown which is possible. But I think they have proven enough to not have that letdown so I will take Arizona

Points: Cardinals   Victory: Cardinals

Bills @ Chiefs (-3): UPSET PICK OF THE WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!

The Chiefs defense has played like garbage. All year. No sugar coating it. And ever since losing to the Steelers in Week 1, the Bills have played with rage and vengeance and anger. This is a statement game for them. To become the class of the AFC. And I think they do it. Hard to go against Mahomes, but their defense.......oh boy.

Points: Bills     Victory: Bills

Colts @ Ravens (-6.5): The AFC South seems to be this year's NFC East. A crap division with 4 crappy teams. And I think that trend continues here. I think the Ravens will win this game by a TD at least.

Points: Ravens    Victory: Ravens